Promotion Calculator

I let the calculator forecast the results based upon form and this is what it came up with, which pretty much tallies with the bookies odds

Team     P     GD     Pts
Luton     46     61     101
Cambridge Utd     46     32     91
Grimsby     46     16     82
Gateshead     46     11     77
Alfreton Town     46     1     75
Nuneaton     46     -3     73
Forest Green     46     17     71
Macclesfield     46     4     71
Kidderminster     46     2     71
Braintree Town     46     15     70
FC Halifax     46     19     66
Barnet     46     7     66
Salisbury     46     -9     66
Welling     46     2     64
Wrexham     46     -1     63
Woking     46     -6     57
Lincoln City     46     -2     56
Southport     46     -14     55
Chester     46     -20     50
Dartford     46     -21     50
Hereford     46     -17     46
Aldershot     46     3     44
Tamworth     46     -29     36
Hyde     46     -68     19

try it:

http://thefishy.co.uk/calculator2.php

heres what I got..



Luton 46 61 103
Cambridge Utd 46 32 89
Alfreton Town 46 1 83
Braintree Town 46 15 78
Gateshead 46 11 76
FC Halifax 46 19 74
Barnet 46 7 74
Forest Green 46 17 73
Grimsby 46 16 73
Kidderminster 46 2 72
Salisbury 46 -9 68
Lincoln City 46 -2 67
Nuneaton 46 -3 67
Macclesfield 46 4 65
Woking 46 -6 62
Welling 46 2 58
Southport 46 -14 57
Wrexham 46 -1 55
Chester 46 -20 49
Hereford 46 -17 45
Aldershot 46 3 44
Dartford 46 -21 39
Tamworth 46 -29 35
Hyde 46 -68 10

Alan Alger reckons we will finish 3rd behind Cambridge. Would take that! He used to work for a bookies so I am trying to convince myself he knows what he is on about.

What I got

Team     P     GD     Pts
Luton     46     61     100
Cambridge Utd     46     32     86
Grimsby     46     16     83
Alfreton Town     46     1     80
Gateshead     46     11     78
Kidderminster     46     2     77
Forest Green     46     17     75
Braintree Town     46     15     70
Barnet     46     7     70
Macclesfield     46     4     70
Nuneaton     46     -3     69
FC Halifax     46     19     68
Lincoln City     46     -2     65
Salisbury     46     -9     62
Welling     46     2     61
Woking     46     -6     59
Southport     46     -14     52
Chester     46     -20     52
Wrexham     46     -1     51
Hereford     46     -17     45
Aldershot     46     3     44
Dartford     46     -21     42
Tamworth     46     -29     36
Hyde     

Luton 46 61 101
Cambridge Utd 46 32 85
Kidderminster 46 2 78
Braintree Town 46 15 77
Alfreton Town 46 1 77
Gateshead 46 11 76
Grimsby 46 16 75
Nuneaton 46 -3 74
Forest Green 46 17 70
FC Halifax 46 19 68
Macclesfield 46 4 66
Salisbury 46 -9 66
Woking 46 -6 65
Barnet 46 7 64
Lincoln City 46 -2 62
Wrexham 46 -1 61
Welling 46 2 60
Chester 46 -20 55
Southport 46 -14 51
Hereford 46 -17 47
Aldershot 46 3 45
Dartford 46 -21 43
Tamworth 46 -29 42
Hyde 46 -68 10

Why does everyone think that other teams are going to pick up more points than us when most of them have less games?

Hagrid for instance. You have Kiddy on 78 pnts, which means they would have to pick up 19 points from a possible 24, when their recent record suggests otherwise.

I'm not saying Town are a nailed on certainty, but at this stage and in our position, we have to be in with a very good shout and the bookies think so too.

Two of us have the same four teams in the playoffs, hope were right

Luton     46     61     103
Cambridge Utd     46     32     86
Grimsby     46     16     79
Forest Green     46     17     75
Alfreton Town     46     1     75
Gateshead     46     11     74
Braintree Town     46     15     73
FC Halifax     46     19     72
Kidderminster     46     2     72
Barnet     46     7     70
Salisbury     46     -9     69
Nuneaton     46     -3     67

Play off contenders form over the last 10 games:-

                                 Our games in hand

Cambridge-   12 pts                 1  

Alfreton-       18 pts                 3

Gateshead-   15 pts                  3

Braintree-     22 pts   (Second only to Luton's 23)

Nuneaton-     14 pts                  4

Halifax-         18pts                   2

Grimsby-       12 pts

Barnet-         18 pts                   3

Kiddy-           13 pts                   2

FGR-             17pts                    2


Nobody aside from Luton and Braintree are having any kind of consistency. I know stats prove nothing and we are not performing brilliantly, but i'd take our situation over almost all the others.

Barnet lost 4 of last 5 and FGR have only 3 home games left (one against Kiddy).

It certainly wont be all decided until the last day thats for sure. A win tomorrow is much needed but that wont guarantee anything, just nee dto accumulate points and i hope we go for the win in every game.

UTM