Can we win the title? - statistical geekery

The most remarkable stat of the season so far is that our last four games have had a double digit in the middle of the attendance figure: 3443,1881,3446, 2663. I reckon the odds of that happening in thoes specific games are 10,000-1

Danny Franchetti's jazz box

Quoted from moosey_club

add in we will probably need to find an extra 10 points once we have some deducted for smoke bomb related crimes then we may as well start "planning next seasons conference promotion camaign on a slightly lesser budget" now.

Also the figure given is slightly skewed as there are teams with games in hand who can surpass our 23 game total so we may be further down the pecking order yet....plus we have just had a pretty extraordinary run of wins to gather our current total which i cannot see being maintained....play off lottery at best i think.

I am really glad my glass is full: your half empty one must feel lighter by the second as you watch/wish it to evaporate before your eyes.

Yes we can and will win the title this season.

Stats only tell a factual tablet: football is a game of skill and chance, with many factors deciding the outcome each game. Our probability of winning the whole thing is better than everyone else bar one or two: I fully expect us to climb over the other contenders and be champions by mid-April.

Thing is this season for once so far we've not been the ones majorly screwed over by the fixture schedule so much, the teams with games in hand, could have those games in hand for a while yet, and when the bad weather comes 2 games could turn to 4, and hopefully itl be our rivals that have 4 game weeks instead of us, we've not got the Lincoln doubler header that usually destroys our season, so only half the injuries, might get lucky and get knocked out of the fa trophy early on, this has the potential to be our best second half of the season so far, could potentially get 50+ points

Quoted from WHYWONTYOULETMESIGNUP

Thing is this season for once so far we've not been the ones majorly screwed over by the fixture schedule so much, the teams with games in hand, could have those games in hand for a while yet, and when the bad weather comes 2 games could turn to 4, and hopefully itl be our rivals that have 4 game weeks instead of us, we've not got the Lincoln doubler header that usually destroys our season, so only half the injuries, might get lucky and get knocked out of the fa trophy early on, this has the potential to be our best second half of the season so far, could potentially get 50+ points

This. and the previous post; scruff of the neck, hello, we are grimsby town and this is goal number one in a series.
It's true, belief is everything you need as long as the players are there; belief gets them up for it and I am confident that if the team and PH feel the fans are with them, they will raise their game on a more consistent basis.
UTM

I've always felt that we are just ever so slightly off the pace for most of the time and that has led to two play off spots in the last two seasons. This season, we are nearer than ever but still not quite there yet. We need another regular goalscorer in my view and i'm hoping this Hamish lad is the missing ingredient or someone we have yet to sign in January. Barnet have more goals in their team than us and for me is the only difference at the moment.

One thing we do have in our favour is that most of the points we have dropped so far have not been against our main rivals. Three points is good but it's better against a frontrunner and we have Barnet to play twice yet.

I've always felt we are good for the play offs and i'll stick by that but a good second half to the season could take us all the way. The league is wide open, which is why i wish Hurst would take a few more chances sometimes.

Fortune favours the brave.

I agree. The manager and team not only have to play their way to promotion, but they need to think their way to it too. I think the whole club has an ethos of 'hoping for the best',  'hedging our bets' etc. I think we have to believe we can win the title and do whatever it takes to manifest that plan.

Quoted from grimsby pete

What has happened in the past is history,

All we need to do is Beat Barnet twice and get more points in the 2nd half of the season than anybody else,

Easy Peasy  

THIS. Although i like the stats (well done) for me i don't care hos many points we finish on aslong as we get 7 more points than barnet between now and the end of the season (and we stay above everyone else) we're a winner!

But like someone else has previously said and i said it at the beginning of the season. There are alot of teams wanting to hit not just the play offs but are aiming for top spot. This season is the toughest and closest it has ever been since I've kept an eye on the conference.

Quoted from GrimRob

The most remarkable stat of the season so far is that our last four games have had a double digit in the middle of the attendance figure: 3443,1881,3446, 2663. I reckon the odds of that happening in thoes specific games are 10,000-1

We need to identify and publicly shame the three who went to the third of those matches but not the first!