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Something in the Fish?

By: Richard Lord
Date: 07/10/2001

AFTER beginning the season so well winning four of their first six league games, Grimsby have plummeted down the league table after losing four of their last five matches. The Mariners' results from their fixtures show some rather intriguing if slightly bizarre statistics.

Home > Features > Something in the Fish?

Since Grimsby won promotion to Division One back in 1998, scoring goals has been a constant problem, averaging just a goal a game over the past three seasons. This season did show some encouragement but with the team scoring 14 goals in 12 games it isn't much of an improvement. But, rather strangely, the team seem to lose the more they score.

  • All victories so far have been 1-0.
  • Whenever Grimsby have scored two or more goals in a game they haven't won.

    This season began requiring Grimsby to play just one league game a week. Since the Mariners started playing during the week, the results have been very poor.

  • Mon 27 Aug Portsmouth 4-2 Grimsby
  • Tue 18 Sep Palace 5-0 Grimsby
  • Tue 25 Sep Grimsby 1-2 Gillingham
  • Fri 5 Oct Grimsby 0-2 Rotherham

    So it seems playing midweek doesn't suit Town - they're still looking to pick up a point during a weekday match. Despite losing five games so far this campaign, the only one Grimsby have lost on a Saturday was at Bradford. Other than that they are undefeated on Saturdays.

    Conceding goals is proving to be Grimsby's downfall at the moment. Strangely enough the Mariners are yet to concede just one goal in a game. So the opposition either fail to score, but if they do they score at least two.

  • When Grimsby have conceded first they haven't won.
  • When Grimsby score first they haven't lost.

    This puts pressure on the team to score the first goal, a point Lennie Lawrence repeated time and time again last season. The significance of the first goal in Grimsby's case seems to determine the outcome of a game.

  • If you're someone who likes to couple a reason with poor form, then look no further than the Cup game this Tuesday. Since being pared with Liverpool Grimsby have drawn two and lost four of their last six, whereas before they were aware of the fixture they had won four, drawn one and lost one.

  • If you're someone who likes to attach blame to a particular person then in this case it'll be Marlon Broomes. Since joining the Mariners on loan Grimsby have failed to win a match.

    So, if you like to make predictions and are looking to do so for the Liverpool game, here is what could happen:

  • It's a weekday game, so Town will lose.
  • If Liverpool score first, Town will lose.
  • If Town score first, we'll win.
  • If Liverpool score, they'll score at least two.
  • If Broomes plays, we're doomed!
  • Then again, the statistics were all based on LEAGUE games and not CUP games. You'll be interested to learn that Town's CUP games so far generally contradict most of the LEAGUE statistics shown. It's the Cup, anything can happen!

    What do you make of the statistical trends?

    Your views here: Message Board

    Readers may be interested to peruse two new regular statistics pages which have been added to The Fishy's collection of after-match facts, all of which are updated shortly after every game.

    Minutes Per Goal
    When Goals Occur

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