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Beat the Bookies: Week 21

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 20/12/2005

I am drawn to Wycombe like a moth to a flame. However I bet on the Bucks side, win, lose or total goals I always end up losing money! On Saturday two late goals by Bury left most Town fans happy, except those who had backed the Chairboys to win!

Home > 2005-2006 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 21


Boxing Day, and the festive season generally, traditionally sees some odd results and a few upsets. Whether this is due to over-eating and drinking from complacent "big" club players. too many games in a short spell, or whatever, doesn't really matter. The key thing is that the Xmas period is one where favourites are toppled in statistically significant quantities.

Chelsea are the ultimate favourites, the nearest thing to a racing certainty in the history of English football since the start of the professional era. This weekend, however, sees the Londoners with two tricky ties: neighbours Fulham at home and Man City away. The Cottagers and the Blues are 14/1 and 9/2 respectively with bet365.com to topple the mighty Chelsea. Only the very brave would back either of them!

Other possible big upsets are WBA to beat Man Utd (10-1), Pompey to beat Arsenal (15/2), Everton to beat Liverpool (11/4), Sunderland to win at Blackburn (6-1), Leicester to win at Reading (5-1), Mansfield to beat Northampton (7/2), and Torquay to beat Wycombe (5/2) all at bet365.com.

Town themselves are favourites to win both their Xmas games: Bury away and Lincoln at home. Bury, who have beaten high-flying Leyton Orient and Wycombe in their last two games, are 13/8 to win at Gigg Lane with bet365.com and Lincoln, whose recent form is showing a steady improvement, are 11/4 to triumph once again at Blundell Park.

There are so many possible upsets the only answer is to back them all! This week I've chosen to bet on all the possible doubles (there are 45), so if any two of the upsets occur I will win something. The more upsets occur the more I win. I probably need three upsets out of the ten to make a profit.

RECOMMENDED BET OF THE WEEK:
Fulham beat Chelsea, WBA beat Man Utd, Pompey beat Arsenal, Man City beat Chelsea, Sunderland beat Blackburn, Everton beat Liverpool, Leicester beat Reading, Bury beat Grimsby, Mansfield beat Northampton, Lincoln beat Grimsby:

45 doubles at 25p each, Total bet £11.25

Previous Bets (around £10 per week)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
27/07Rushden to get relegated5/2In progress
03/08Sell Lincoln in League Two 60 Index13In progress
10/08Rob Jones to score v Chester12/1£0.00
17/08Buy Scunthorpe in the Mini Performance Index vs Forestbought@16
actual 35
+£11.97
24/08Rob Jones to score v Derby33/1-£10.00
31/08Northampton to beat Wycombe2/1-£10.00
13/09Carlisle to beat Cheltenham2/1+£20.00
19/09Grimsby to beat Spurs5/1+£50.00
26/09Hull to beat Norwich16/5-£10.00
05/10Grimsby v Wycombe total goalsbought at 2.8
actual 1
-£9.00
11/10England v Poland total goalsbought at 2.6
actual 3
+£4.00
17/10Woking to beat Forest11/4+£27.50
24/10Grimsby to beat Newcastle6/1-£10.00
02/11Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby10/3+£33.33
08/11Macclesfield to beat Grimsby7/2-£10.00
16/11Tommy Mooney to score against Grimsby5/4-£10.00
23/11Carlisle v Wycombe: buy total goalsbought at 2.9
actual 1
-£9.50
29/11Grays to beat Mansfield9/5-£10.00
06/12Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby7/2+£35.00
14/12Wycombe to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
Total +£83.30

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