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Beat the Bookies: Week 23

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 04/01/2006

HULL were well beaten by Leeds last weekend supposedly, but fortunately there's always plenty of opportunities to try and beat the bookies!

Home > 2005-2006 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 23

With the Mariners out of the FA Cup and not playing this weekend it gives us an opportunity to enjoy the FA Cup 3rd Round without the tension of being involved. Regular readers of this column will know I always try and find upsets, especially where the bookies look at reputations rather than form, and this week will be no different!

First of all the really big upsets! Cardiff surely have only a slim chance of winning at Arsenal, but is 16/1 with a bit generous to see a mid-table Championship side beat an Arsenal team past their best?

Then there's 25/1 for Huddersfield to win at Chelsea, 10/1 for Scunthorpe to win at Man City, 33/1 Burton Albion to beat Man Utd. All odds with None of them look especially likely, however.

Slightly more realistic upsets are last week's tip Hull City to beat Aston Villa at home which is 10/3, with, although Villa have picked up in recent games. Leeds to win at Wigan is 10/3 with, and also a good price as Leeds are flying at the moment, whereas Wigan blow hot and cold.

Finally what about Graham Souness finally getting the boot if Mansfield beat the Geordies at St James's Park? are offering 12/1 for such an eventuality, which to my mind is poor odds compared to a Cardiff (two divisions higher than Mansfield) victory at Highbury.

I'm going to stick my neck out and go for a big upset! I was going to bet on Hull but I've talked myself into going with Cardiff to pull off possibly the shock of the round with either a win or a draw at Arsenal, which is available at 9/2 with!

Cardiff to draw with or beat Arsenal

Previous Bets (around £10 per week)

27/07Rushden to get relegated5/2In progress
03/08Sell Lincoln in League Two 60 Index13In progress
10/08Rob Jones to score v Chester12/1£0.00
17/08Buy Scunthorpe in the Mini Performance Index vs Forestbought@16
actual 35
24/08Rob Jones to score v Derby33/1-£10.00
31/08Northampton to beat Wycombe2/1-£10.00
13/09Carlisle to beat Cheltenham2/1+£20.00
19/09Grimsby to beat Spurs5/1+£50.00
26/09Hull to beat Norwich16/5-£10.00
05/10Grimsby v Wycombe total goalsbought at 2.8
actual 1
11/10England v Poland total goalsbought at 2.6
actual 3
17/10Woking to beat Forest11/4+£27.50
24/10Grimsby to beat Newcastle6/1-£10.00
02/11Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby10/3+£33.33
08/11Macclesfield to beat Grimsby7/2-£10.00
16/11Tommy Mooney to score against Grimsby5/4-£10.00
23/11Carlisle v Wycombe: buy total goalsbought at 2.9
actual 1
29/11Grays to beat Mansfield9/5-£10.00
06/12Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby7/2+£35.00
14/12Wycombe to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
20/12Various Xmas Upsetsvarious-£11.50
29/12Hull to beat Leeeds4/1-£10.00
Total +£61.80

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