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Beat the Bookies: Week 16

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 28/11/2007

LAST week was a disaster for England, but quite the opposite for Grimsby who won both games! Did you take our advice to bet on "one of the greatest bets of modern times" last week, when we tipped Croatia to beat England? If you didn't you missed a great chance to clean up!

Home > 2007-2008 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 16


This week sees the FA Cup return once again, although it doesn't seem to have been long since it was here last. Round Two throws up some great chances for upsets with so many of the smaller teams having got through in the last round.

Burton Albion v Barnet8/5
Oxford Utd v Southend13/5
Staines Town v Peterborough4/1
Harrogate Railway v Mansfield4/1
Huddersfield v Grimsby5/1
Horsham v Swansea6/1
Notts County v Havant and Waterlooville6/1
Swindon v Forest Green11/2
Port Vale v Chasetown10/1

Sadly I promised not to bet on Grimsby to win in their match with Huddersfield. Town will be going into the game with a lot of confidence on the back of two wins and knowing that they have already comfortably beaten the Terriers this season. So normally we would be betting on Grimsby, but this week we can't as it is bad luck! Huddersfield are not work backing at 1/2 so which of the other matches could be upsets?

Last week's opponents Barnet had some good front players and I don't think 8/5 is great value, although Burton are probably the pick of the non-league sides are doing well in the Conference. Of the others Harrogate Railway have the added bonus of being on TV and Mansfield are having a poor season but have improved a bit lately. However 4/1 isn't overly generous.

Horsham are Staines are both doing well in the Ryman Premier but are up against two tough league sides in the form of League One leaders Swansea and big spending Peterborough from League Two respectively. If either of them manages a draw it will be a genuine surprise.

Of the remaining games Havant and Waterlooville of the Conference South have a day out at Notts County, who are struggling in League Two. That, in our opinion, represents the best chance of an FA Cup Upset.

Also of interest to Grimsby fans might be the odds on Danny North to score against Huddersfield. The in-form striker is 4/1 win bet365 to score at any point in the game.

Recommended Bets

  • 1. Havant and Waterlooville to beat Notts County (6/1, bet365).

Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
06/08Accrington to be relegated7/2Ongoing
06/08Wycombe to be promoted10/3Ongoing
17/08Sunderland to beat Wigan2/1-£10.00
21/08Shrewsbury to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
21/08Bury to beat Wycombe10/3-£10.00
29/08Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury11/4-£10.00
29/08Chester to beat Rotherham3/1-£10.00
05/09Mansfield to beat Peterborough3/1-£10.00
05/09Mulligan or Bennett first goal v Accrington3/1-£5.00
11/09Stockport to beat Grimsby13/8-£10.00
11/09Lincoln to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
18/09Lincoln to draw with Grimsby11/5-£10.00
18/09Morecambe to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
25/09Hull to beat Chelsea6/1-£10.00
25/09Notts County to draw with Chesterfield9/4-£10.00
04/10Grimsby to beat Peterborough4/1-£10.00
04/10Barnet to beat Stockport3/1+£30.00
11/10Bury to beat Notts County5/2+£25.00
11/10Grimsby to be relegated9/1Ongoing
16/10Russia to beat England11/5+£22.00
16/10South Africa to beat England2/5+£4.00
23/10Bury to beat Macclesfield21/10-£10.00
23/10Wrexham to beat Notts County5/2-£10.00
01/11Bradford to beat Brentford5/4-£10.00
08/11Carlisle to win by 2 or more goals13/10-£10.00
08/11Dagenham to get relegated4/1Ongoing
15/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe13/10-£10.00
15/11Barnet to beat Shrewsbury9/4-£10.00
19/11Carlisle to beat Grimsby13/10-£10.00
19/11Croatia to beat England9.6+£81.71
Total £-42.29

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