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Beat the Bookies: Week 20

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 27/12/2007

FAILURE last week by Brentford and Bury to win their games meant we didn't win with either of our tips last week, but both teams did better than expected vindicating our long odds selections to some extent.

Home > 2007-2008 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 20

In one sense Grimsby are unpredictable at the moment, in another they are fairly predictable in that they generally lose to teams above them in the table. Those below them they have a fairly good record against this season, and they seem to be settling at about 20th position in the table with about half the games played. Lincoln, best priced 23/10 to beat Grimsby on Saturday, have lost their last two games but had won three out of four before that. 11/10 for a home win does not look especially good value, but there is better value on the coupon this weekend than either of the other two outcomes.

Rochdale are flying at the moment and have won four out of their last five matches. They have a local derby at Saturday against Macclesfield who are at the bottom of the form league having just two points from the last five games. Dale are a generous 6/4 with Betfred to record a fourth consecutive game against a team in terrible form. Do not miss out!

Another team who are in fine form at the moment are Accrington Stanley, who as we saw on Boxing Day have two excellent strikers and look a solid if unspectacular outfit. Their away form is excellent too and should be enough to see off the challenge of lowly Mansfield at Field Mill. Stanley are also best priced at a very backable 15/8 to pick up another three points on their travels.

Those two bets alone are about as good as they get in League Two but next best are high flying Chesterfield (19/10) to win at a Barnet side who have lost their last four games. This season's surprise package Morecambe are 15/8 to beat big spending Peterborough at home. Under normal circumstances these two games would also be worthy of consideration, but with two outstanding bets this week we have no hesitation in recommending these. Those looking for longer odds than the single prices could contemplate combination bets on all four teams in what looks like a good week for betting.

Recommended Bets

  • 1. Rochdale to beat Macclesfield (6/4, Betfred).
  • 2. Accrington Stanley to beat Mansfield (15/8, bet365).

Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

06/08Accrington to be relegated7/2Ongoing
06/08Wycombe to be promoted10/3Ongoing
17/08Sunderland to beat Wigan2/1-£10.00
21/08Shrewsbury to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
21/08Bury to beat Wycombe10/3-£10.00
29/08Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury11/4-£10.00
29/08Chester to beat Rotherham3/1-£10.00
05/09Mansfield to beat Peterborough3/1-£10.00
05/09Mulligan or Bennett first goal v Accrington3/1-£5.00
11/09Stockport to beat Grimsby13/8-£10.00
11/09Lincoln to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
18/09Lincoln to draw with Grimsby11/5-£10.00
18/09Morecambe to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
25/09Hull to beat Chelsea6/1-£10.00
25/09Notts County to draw with Chesterfield9/4-£10.00
04/10Grimsby to beat Peterborough4/1-£10.00
04/10Barnet to beat Stockport3/1+£30.00
11/10Bury to beat Notts County5/2+£25.00
11/10Grimsby to be relegated9/1Ongoing
16/10Russia to beat England11/5+£22.00
16/10South Africa to beat England2/5+£4.00
23/10Bury to beat Macclesfield21/10-£10.00
23/10Wrexham to beat Notts County5/2-£10.00
01/11Bradford to beat Brentford5/4-£10.00
08/11Carlisle to win by 2 or more goals13/10-£10.00
08/11Dagenham to get relegated4/1Ongoing
15/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe13/10-£10.00
15/11Barnet to beat Shrewsbury9/4-£10.00
19/11Carlisle to beat Grimsby13/10-£10.00
19/11Croatia to beat England9.6+£81.71
28/11Havant and Waterlooville to beat Notts County6/1+£60.00
06/12Brentford to beat Grimsby11/10-£10.00
06/12Wrexham to beat Dagenham2/1-£10.00
11/12Morecambe to beat Wycombe5/2-£10.00
11/12Brentford to beat Wrexham5/2
18/12Bury to beat Chester10/3-£10.00
18/12Brentford to beat MK Dons8/1-£10.00
Total -£7.29

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