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Beat the Bookies: Week 24
By: Rob Sedgwick
WREXHAM'S win over MK Dons may have caused a few shockwaves in League Two last week, but not for regular readers of Beat the Bookies, who may even have backed it themselves!
Grimsby pass a milestone this week, one of recognition from the bookies. For the first time in a while they are clear favourites to win a game, when they face Shrewsbury at home. Town are 13/10 and Shrews are 9/5 with bet365. Grimsby have scraped through their last couple of home games against poor sides, but Shrewsbury themselves have only just merged from a bad patch, so the odds look about right.
Could MK Dons be due to lose their third game on the trot, after the league leaders have been toppled by Barnet and Wrexham in their last two games, without even managing a goal? This week they face Rochdale at home, and Dale are in sparkling form right now. Dale can be backed at 7/2 with Ladbrokes, well worth a punt in our opinion.
In the FA Cup Havant and Waterlooville are 100/1 to win at Anfield! There are a number of League Two clubs playing in Round Four, namely Mansfield (7/1 v Boro), Peterborough (10/3 v WBA), Bury (8/1 at Soton), Barnet (7/4 v Bristol R), Hereford (3/1 v Cardiff). The trick in the last round was to look for which team decided to rest players. If WBA decide promotion to the Premiership is more important than the cup then Peterborough could well cause an upset at London Road.
But bet of the round has to be Newcastle to win at the Emirates. Arsenal were walloped by Spurs this week and Kevin Keegan's honeymoon period should be approaching its peak. At any rate 7/1 is well worth a punt of the Geordies against an Arsenal side who themselves might decide to rest a player or two.
- 1. Rochdale to beat MK Dons (7/2, Ladbrokes).
- 2. Newcastle to beat Arsenal (7/1, bet365).
Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
|06/08||Accrington to be relegated||7/2||Ongoing|
|06/08||Wycombe to be promoted||10/3||Ongoing|
|17/08||Sunderland to beat Wigan||2/1||-£10.00|
|21/08||Shrewsbury to beat MK Dons||11/4||-£10.00|
|21/08||Bury to beat Wycombe||10/3||-£10.00|
|29/08||Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury||11/4||-£10.00|
|29/08||Chester to beat Rotherham||3/1||-£10.00|
|05/09||Mansfield to beat Peterborough||3/1||-£10.00|
|05/09||Mulligan or Bennett first goal v Accrington||3/1||-£5.00|
|11/09||Stockport to beat Grimsby||13/8||-£10.00|
|11/09||Lincoln to beat Darlington||4/1||-£10.00|
|18/09||Lincoln to draw with Grimsby||11/5||-£10.00|
|18/09||Morecambe to beat Peterborough||5/1||-£10.00|
|25/09||Hull to beat Chelsea||6/1||-£10.00|
|25/09||Notts County to draw with Chesterfield||9/4||-£10.00|
|04/10||Grimsby to beat Peterborough||4/1||-£10.00|
|04/10||Barnet to beat Stockport||3/1||+£30.00|
|11/10||Bury to beat Notts County||5/2||+£25.00|
|11/10||Grimsby to be relegated||9/1||Ongoing|
|16/10||Russia to beat England||11/5||+£22.00|
|16/10||South Africa to beat England||2/5||+£4.00|
|23/10||Bury to beat Macclesfield||21/10||-£10.00|
|23/10||Wrexham to beat Notts County||5/2||-£10.00|
|01/11||Bradford to beat Brentford||5/4||-£10.00|
|08/11||Carlisle to win by 2 or more goals||13/10||-£10.00|
|08/11||Dagenham to get relegated||4/1||Ongoing|
|15/11||Grimsby to beat Morecambe||13/10||-£10.00|
|15/11||Barnet to beat Shrewsbury||9/4||-£10.00|
|19/11||Carlisle to beat Grimsby||13/10||-£10.00|
|19/11||Croatia to beat England||9.6||+£81.71|
|28/11||Havant and Waterlooville to beat Notts County||6/1||+£60.00|
|06/12||Brentford to beat Grimsby||11/10||-£10.00|
|06/12||Wrexham to beat Dagenham||2/1||-£10.00|
|11/12||Morecambe to beat Wycombe||5/2||-£10.00|
|11/12||Brentford to beat Wrexham||5/2||+£25.00|
|18/12||Bury to beat Chester||10/3||-£10.00|
|18/12||Brentford to beat MK Dons||8/1||-£10.00|
|27/12||Rochdale to beat Macclesfield||6/4||-£10.00|
|27/12||Accrington Stanley to beat Mansfield||15/8||+£18.75|
|02/01||Stockport to beat Notts County||13/8||+£16.25|
|02/01||Bristol City to beat Middlesbrough||2/1||-£10.00|
|10/01||Accrington Stanley to beat Stockport||5/2||-£10.00|
|10/01||Scunthorpe to be relegated||5/6||Ongoing|
|16/01||Wrexham to beat MK Dons||9/2||+£45.00|
|16/01||Hereford to beat Chesterfield||2/1||-£10.00|
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