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6Notts County14121
7Accrington Stanley14120

9Crawley Town14-120
19Cambridge Utd14-516
20Leyton Orient14-215

24Newport County13-88

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Beat the Bookies: Week 37

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 22/04/2008

BRADFORD's last minute goal cost Town dearly but did have the minor consolation of being a win for Beat the Bookies. Although Notts Co failed to beat Wrexham, it does mean that Beat the Bookies is now very likely to make a profit for the third year out of three.

Home > 2007-2008 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 37

This weekend Town entertain big-spending Peterborough, who are now already promoted. In a sense both teams have little to play for. Posh are almost certain to finish second and Town have had one eye on the summer holidays for some time. However the respective form of the two teams could not be a bigger contrast, and Peterborough are well worthy of being 10/11 to win. Yet not many teams are odds on to win at Blundell Park. For that reason you may want to at least consider backing Town at 5/2 and deciding whether the bookies have over-egged the chances of Posh winning.

It looks like the bookies' algorithms to determine the match odds have really started to heavily weight when one side has something to play for and the other doesn't. Usually that's a good indication but in the case of a local derby of course both sides have everything to play for. A case in point is Bury v Rochdale. Yes, Rochdale's recent form is exemplary, but so is the Shakers who have won four out of the last five. 11/4 for a home win seems fantastic odds really for any team with that sort of form.

Morecambe v Lincoln City is a match which counts for nothing for both sides. Morecambe's season seemed to end when we knocked them out of the JPT whereas Lincoln are still picking up wins on a regular basis. 3/1 for an way win is well worth a punt.

Recommended Bets

  • 1. Bury to beat Rochdale (11/4, bet365))
  • 2. Lincoln to beat Morecambe (3/1, bet365))

Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

06/08Accrington to be relegated7/2Ongoing
06/08Wycombe to be promoted10/3Ongoing
17/08Sunderland to beat Wigan2/1-£10.00
21/08Shrewsbury to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
21/08Bury to beat Wycombe10/3-£10.00
29/08Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury11/4-£10.00
29/08Chester to beat Rotherham3/1-£10.00
05/09Mansfield to beat Peterborough3/1-£10.00
05/09Mulligan or Bennett first goal v Accrington3/1-£5.00
11/09Stockport to beat Grimsby13/8-£10.00
11/09Lincoln to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
18/09Lincoln to draw with Grimsby11/5-£10.00
18/09Morecambe to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
25/09Hull to beat Chelsea6/1-£10.00
25/09Notts County to draw with Chesterfield9/4-£10.00
04/10Grimsby to beat Peterborough4/1-£10.00
04/10Barnet to beat Stockport3/1+£30.00
11/10Bury to beat Notts County5/2+£25.00
11/10Grimsby to be relegated9/1-£10.00
16/10Russia to beat England11/5+£22.00
16/10South Africa to beat England2/5+£4.00
23/10Bury to beat Macclesfield21/10-£10.00
23/10Wrexham to beat Notts County5/2-£10.00
01/11Bradford to beat Brentford5/4-£10.00
08/11Carlisle to win by 2 or more goals13/10-£10.00
08/11Dagenham to get relegated4/1Ongoing
15/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe13/10-£10.00
15/11Barnet to beat Shrewsbury9/4-£10.00
19/11Carlisle to beat Grimsby13/10-£10.00
19/11Croatia to beat England9.6+£81.71
28/11Havant and Waterlooville to beat Notts County6/1+£60.00
06/12Brentford to beat Grimsby11/10-£10.00
06/12Wrexham to beat Dagenham2/1-£10.00
11/12Morecambe to beat Wycombe5/2-£10.00
11/12Brentford to beat Wrexham5/2+£25.00
18/12Bury to beat Chester10/3-£10.00
18/12Brentford to beat MK Dons8/1-£10.00
27/12Rochdale to beat Macclesfield6/4-£10.00
27/12Accrington Stanley to beat Mansfield15/8+£18.75
02/01Stockport to beat Notts County13/8+£16.25
02/01Bristol City to beat Middlesbrough2/1-£10.00
10/01Accrington Stanley to beat Stockport5/2-£10.00
10/01Scunthorpe to be relegated5/6+£8.33
16/01Wrexham to beat MK Dons9/2+£45.00
16/01Hereford to beat Chesterfield2/1-£10.00
23/01Rochdale to beat MK Dons7/2+£35.00
23/01Newcastle to beat Arsenal7/1-£10.00
30/01Wrexham to beat Darlington11/4+£27.50
30/01Barnet to beat Morecambe11/8-£10.00
06/02Chesterfield to beat Grimsby15/8-£10.00
06/02Wrexham to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
06/02Rotherham to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
15/02Notts County to beat Chester15/8+£18.75
15/02Wrexham to beat MK Dons5/1£0.0
20/02Lincoln to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
20/02Barnet to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
27/02Morecambe to win the Johnstone Paint Trophy8/1-£10.00
27/02Accrington Stanley to beat Rotherham4/1+£40.00
07/03Lincoln to beat Chesterfield5/2-£10.00
07/03Wrexham to beat Chester21/10+£21.00
12/03Stockport to beat Lincoln9/5+£18.00
12/03Accrington to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
19/03Wrexham to beat Brentford11/4-£20.00
27/03Grimsby to beat MK Dons10/3-£10.00
27/03Wrexham to beat Barnet23/10-£10.00
03/04Brentford to beat Rotherham19/10+£19.00
03/04Mansfield to beat Barnet5/4-£10.00
09/04Bradford to beat Brentford2/1-£10.00
09/04Lincoln to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
16/04Bradford to beat Grimsby10/11+£9.09
16/04Notts County to beat Wrexham13/8-£10.00
Total +£69.38

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