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Beat the Bookies!
Beat the Bookies!

Beat the Bookies: Week 17

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 27/11/2008

LAST week's two Fixed Odds bets were somewhat off the mark. However Bradford's win at Rotherham ensured a Spread Betting win which made up the deficit.

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 17

Grimsby supporters can sit back and enjoy the FA Cup this weekend as the Mariners are not playing. The FA Cup always has shocks at long odds and the Fishy has drawn up a shortlist of possible upsets - this is no time to be messing about with odds on bets!

Leicester v Dagenham Leicester's main task this season is to win promotion and the FA Cup is likely to play second fiddle at the Walkers Stadium this season. They face this season's surprise package in League Two: Dagenham, a well organised side who have put together some impressive results this season. It's not known how strong a side Leicester will put out, however the Daggers no doubt will be up for the game and be desperate to get into the Round 3 draw along with the big boys. Odds: 15/2 Sky Bet.

Millwall v Aldershot The Shots are on a tremendous run at the moment in League Two, and have hardly conceded any goals recently (four wins on the spin without reply), which may well stand them in good stead in this tie. Yes Millwall have been strong at home recently, but Aldershot should take a large following on the short trip to South London. Odds: 13/2 Boyle Sports.

Scunthorpe v Alferton It seems hard to imagine anyone having a Big Day Out in Scunthorpe but Alferton will be doing precisely that this weekend. Scunny had been doing well in League One, but have lost their last two games. In contrast Alferton have won nearly every game recently in the Blue Square North, and therefore could cause a possible upset - and bring a smile to the face of many a Mariner. Almost two years to the day Scunny lost at home to League Two basement side Wrexham in the FA Cup, a result which Beat the Bookies successfully forecast when the Iron were in a similar position in League One. Odds: 17/2 Sky Bet.

Bournemouth v Blyth Spartans Blyth have a similar task to their fellow Blue Square North side Alferton, and a great FA Cup tradition to go along with it. The Cherries have dipped in form recently and could well be knocked out by the Tyneside minnows. Odds: 13/2 Sky Bet.

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Aldershot beat Millwall 13/2,
  • 2. Alferton beat Scunthorpe 17/2,

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No Bet

The Monkey's Bet

  • No Bet

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
19/11Gillingham to beat Bury 19/10-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dag & Red3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£74.10

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total -£16.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£180.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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