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Cheers Chesterfield!
Cheers Chesterfield!

Beat the Bookies: Week 20

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 17/12/2008

ONLY a small profit was made last weekend with Macclesfield's win at Chesterfield on Friday night more than covering the losses sustained in the other games. Sadly Town's win against Shrewsbury was not one of our tips!

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 20


Aldershot v Grimsby. On paper Town don't stand a chance against a team who haven't lost at home all season and have won four games on the spin, but Town's recent signings plus of course their win against Shrewsbury last week mean they could well be a tougher challenge than that bit of paper may suggest. What's more Aldershot haven't played for two weeks so may well have lost some of the momentum that have built up prior to that. Town can be backed at 9/2 with several bookies including Paddy Power. Alternatively you can back Town at +0.75 in the Asian Handicap at just under evens which pays out for a draw, and only the loss of half your stake for a 1 goal defeat. Selection: Grimsby.

Notts County v Lincoln. County had a bad result last week losing to Chester and the pressure is starting to grow on their manager after a poor string of results. Jamie Forrester's red card at Chester also means they'll be missing one of their better players. Lincoln had been doing poorly but had a terrific win last week against Accrington and should do well in this local derby. 7/4 for an away win looks a bit on the long side in this game. Selection: Lincoln.

Bradford v Chester. For those looking for an odds-on banker Bradford's game at home to Chester could well provide a good bet. City have dropped a few points recently, but Chester are usually poor, although they do have the habit of springing the odd unexpected result. Selection: Bradford.

Accrington Stanley v Rotherham. It would be hard to forgive Rotherham's players from having one eye on Wembley. A possible relegation battle aside their league season is already over, and just Scunthorpe stand between them and a place at Wembley. That last thing they might want to happen is get injured playing at Accrington Stanley of all places. Rotherham's recent league form has been terrible and they could well fall again at Stanley. A home win can be backed at 6/4. Selection: Accrington.

Darlington v Barnet. For once a Grimsby away win isn't the longest odds on the coupon. This is another fixture where everyone will be going for Darlington, but in this division there's always the possibility of an upset and the away teams do tend to get overpriced in this sort of game, especially when Darlo have had a tough cup game in midweek and had the disappointment of losing to penalties to Rotherham. Barnet can be backed at 11/2 and are also available at just over evens in the Asian Handicap at 0.75. Selection: Barnet.


This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Aldershot . (9/2 Paddy Power),
  • 2. Lincoln to beat Notts County. (7/4 Bet365),

Recommended Spread Bet

    No bet

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 40/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dag & Red3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£67.43

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total -£56.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£200.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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