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10Crawley Town619
21Leyton Orient6-44
24Newport County6-52

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Beat the Bookies: Week 22

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 06/01/2009

TWO late goals by Darlo against Bournemouth might have done Grimsby Town a favour however they cost Beat the Bookies a much needed winner and meant that both last week's tips lost!

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 22

Macclesfield v Port Vale There's not much to separate the two sides in recent games and both sides look destined for a dull second half of the season with little to play for. The bookies favour Macclesfield who won at Port Vale a few weeks ago in the cup, but the Silkmen could well be suffering a cup hangover themselves after their heroics against Everton and Vale are worth a punt with Sky Bet at 12/5. Selection: Away Win

Notts County v Exeter Exeter are having a great season and rarely lose home or away. The bookies cannot split the two sides, but County have lost four from five, and the other game was an undeserved win at Grimsby. City should pick up another three points. (6/4 Bet365) Selection: Away Win

Accrington Stanley v Darlington. Darlo finally got a win last week against Bournemouth and face another side who have lost every game recently apart from a win against Grimsby! Darlo should likewise pick up another three points. (6/4 Bet365). Selection: Away Win

Bournemouth v Bradford Two inconsistent sides face each other at Dean Court, with both sides looking to win for different reasons. City draw too many games but are clinging onto a promotion place mainly due to the teams around them losing. Bournemouth's response to the board and managerial changes remains to be seen, but with City's squad and support they are always worth backing at odds of (6/4 Bet365) against a team who have lost their last three games. Selection: Away Win

Bury v Barnet They may be at opposite ends of the table but in recent games Barnet have picked up more points than Bury. OK Bury may have been playing the top teams during that time, but Barnet's 2-0 win at Bournemouth straight after dismissing Paul Fairclough is a hint of better times to come and they may well be worth a speculative bet at 9/2 Bet365 Selection: Away Win

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Exeter to beat Notts County . (6/4, Bet365),
  • 2. Bradford to beat Bournemouth. (6/4, Bet365),

    Recommended Spread Bet

      No bet this week.

    The Monkey's Bet

    • Grimsby to win 3-1, 18/1 Bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    31/12Accrington to beat Rochdale5/1-£10.00
    31/12Bournemouth to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
    23/12Luton to beat Chesterfield14/5-£10.00
    23/12Port Vale to beat Rotherham4/1-£10.00
    23/12Bournemouth to beat Brentford9/2-£10.00
    23/12Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale9/4-£10.00
    16/12Grimsby to beat Aldershot9/2-£10.00
    16/12Lincoln to beat Notts County7/4+£17.50
    11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
    11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
    11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
    04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
    04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
    28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
    28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
    19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
    19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
    11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
    11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
    06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
    06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
    06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
    31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
    31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
    27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
    27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
    22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
    22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
    14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
    14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
    09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
    09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
    06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
    06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
    30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
    30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
    24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
    24/09Rotherham to beat Dag & Red3/1-£10.00
    17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
    17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
    09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
    09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
    04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
    04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
    28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
    28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
    19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
    19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
    15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
    15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
    06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
    06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
    Total +£14.93

    Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

    04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
    04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
    19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
    31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
    22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
    14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
    09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
    24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
    17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
    09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
    04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
    28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
    19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
    15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
    06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
    Total -£56.00

    Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

    31/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    23/12Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
    17/12Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
    11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
    06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
    14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
    30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
    17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
    15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
    Total -£230.00

    Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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