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Beat the Bookies
Beat the Bookies

Beat the Bookies: Week 23

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 15/01/2009

LAST week's postponements meant that only one of our tipped games was able to take place, but Notts County sprung a surprise to beat Exeter and continued our losing streak!

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 23

+With so many postponed games recently and a lot of new signings dotted around the League Two clubs it is not time to be backing favourites as surprises may be the order of the day. It's just finding them!

Wycombe v Grimsby The ultimate surprise would of course be our own Mariners to win at run away leaders Wycombe - the longest price on this week's coupon. However with half a new team waiting to make their debuts of one sort or another for the Mariners expect the unexpected. Town are available at 7/1 with Sky Bet. The spread price is not yet available at the time of writing, but Wycombe concede very few goals so Grimsby's mini performance quote is likely to be ultra low, and a potential source of profit should the Mariners net a couple whatever the final result. Alternatively you could go with The Monkey and select a 3-1 win at a mouth watering 66/1! Selection: Grimsby

Darlington v Luton. Darlington might be near the top of the table and Luton at the bottom but it's the away side who have the best recent form. Luton are unbeaten in six, whereas the Quakers have won just one of their last half dozen games. With those stats Luton have to be the pick at 7/2. Selection: Luton

Rotherham v Bournemouth On paper you would expect this to be a home win but after three defeats it could well be the Cherries who want to win this game more, and they certainly need the points. Rotherham have come out of a sticky patch with a few wins recently, but Bournemouth have a lot of fight in them yet and will be desperate for a win. Selection: Bournemouth

Rochdale v Lincoln Another fixture with not much to choose between the teams so why are Lincoln 10/3. Only one way to find out! Selection: Lincoln

Bradford v Accrington Stanley Despite the comment about going for the outsiders this is a home banker if ever there was one purely because Stanley's form has been so terrible of late - other than a win over us! Bradford (8/13) don't lose much but have drawn a lot of games recently which they would normally have expected to win. Selection: Bradford

Exeter v Bury This match could go either way with both sides doing well. However City's home form has always been good especially from teams at the other end of the country, and they should see off the challenge of the Shakers. 7/5 looks a good price for a home win. Selection: Exeter

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Lincoln to beat Rochdale . (10/3 Bet365),
  • 2. Luton to beat Darlington. (7/2 Bet365),

    Recommended Spread Bet

    • Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance (14) at

    The Monkey's Bet

    • Grimsby to win 3-1, 66/1 Bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    06/01Exeter to beat Notts County6/4-£10.00
    31/12Accrington to beat Rochdale5/1-£10.00
    31/12Bournemouth to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
    23/12Luton to beat Chesterfield14/5-£10.00
    23/12Port Vale to beat Rotherham4/1-£10.00
    23/12Bournemouth to beat Brentford9/2-£10.00
    23/12Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale9/4-£10.00
    16/12Grimsby to beat Aldershot9/2-£10.00
    16/12Lincoln to beat Notts County7/4+£17.50
    11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
    11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
    11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
    04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
    04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
    28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
    28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
    19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
    19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
    11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
    11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
    06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
    06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
    06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
    31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
    31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
    27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
    27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
    22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
    22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
    14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
    14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
    09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
    09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
    06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
    06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
    30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
    30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
    24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
    24/09Rotherham to beat Dag & Red3/1-£10.00
    17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
    17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
    09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
    09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
    04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
    04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
    28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
    28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
    19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
    19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
    15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
    15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
    06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
    06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
    Total +£4.93

    Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

    04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
    04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
    19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
    31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
    22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
    14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
    09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
    24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
    17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
    09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
    04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
    28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
    19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
    15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
    06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
    Total -£56.00

    Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

    31/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    23/12Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
    17/12Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
    11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
    06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
    14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
    30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
    17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
    04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
    28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
    15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
    06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
    Total -£230.00

    Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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