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Beat the Bookies: Week 34

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 03/04/2009

BOTH last week's fixed odds tips lost, and the spread bet scored exactly the value of the stake. meaning no return. So all in all it was a losing weekend - almost irrelevant as Grimsby won of course!

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 34

Shrewsbury v Grimsby. Many people would write Town off before a ball is kicked on the basis of the league positions. However Shrewsbury have drawn their last five games, and they looked short on confidence in last weekend's televised game. Town's confidence by contrast will be sky high after two good wins and a sudden doubling of the crowd! A lot will depend on how the Mariners can contain the home side's dangerous forwards. Town though are likely to play a very conservative game as they did at Luton and Chester, and it could be a low scoring match. However Grimsby always have a chance to score on the counter attack and in both the games mentioned they took the lead. Grimsby can be backed at 4/1. Selection: Grimsby

Bournemouth v Rochdale.The Cherries have lost their last two games and will be desperate for a win. Dale are very inconsistent but will probably take a draw in a tricky fixture for them. The Bournemouth fans are bound to come out in force though and a home win looks likely. At 13/8 for either side to win the Cherries have got to be the better value. Selection: Bournemouth

Darlington v Morecambe. The two teams on the fringes of the play offs both need a win to stand any chance. However all the off field problems for Darlo are bound to have had an effect on their players and the away win looks the more likely. Morecambe can be backed at 12/5. Selection: Morecambe

Exeter v Dagenham. Neither side is exactly in sparkling form but the Devon club are traditionally strong at home and Daggers look to have faded at the wrong time to make the play-offs. At 21/20 Exeter look a decent odds against price. Selection: Exeter

Gillingham v Barnet. Barnet showed in midweek they are capable of good away results, despite their recent dip after a good spell. Gills are strong at home and are obviously favourites but at 4/1 with Sky Bet Barnet are worth a punt. Selection: Barnet

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury. (4/1, Bet365)
  • 2. Bournemouth to beat Rochdale. (16/5, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • Exeter v Dagenham: Sell Dagenham Mini Performance, 20,

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 16/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

31/03Bradford to beat Chester11/10-£10.00
31/03Bournemouth to beat Bury16/5-£10.00
20/03Chester to beat Bury13/2-£10.00
20/03Luton to beat Macclesfield16/5+£8.00
12/03Rotherham to beat Rochdale16/5+£32.00
12/03Luton to beat Aldershot2/1-£10.00
05/03Morecambe to beat Dagenham13/5+£26.00
05/03Barnet to beat Chester4/5+£8.00
26/02Bournemouth to beat Gillingham9/2-£10.00
26/02Barnet to beat Chesterfield4/1-£10.00
20/02Barnet to beat Bradford5/2+£25.00
20/02Morecambe to beat Aldershot11/4+£27.50
13/02Barnet to beat Notts County7/2-£10.00
13/02Exeter to beat Aldershot10/11+£9.09
05/02Dagenham to beat Bury11/4-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to beat Bradford4/1-£10.00
30/01Macclesfield to beat Rotherham7/2-£10.00
21/01Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0)4/5£0.00
21/01Tottenham to beat Man Utd8/1-£10.00
15/01Lincoln to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
15/01Luton to beat Darlington7/2-£10.00
06/01Exeter to beat Notts County6/4-£10.00
31/12Accrington to beat Rochdale5/1-£10.00
31/12Bournemouth to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
23/12Luton to beat Chesterfield14/5-£10.00
23/12Port Vale to beat Rotherham4/1-£10.00
23/12Bournemouth to beat Brentford9/2-£10.00
23/12Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale9/4-£10.00
16/12Grimsby to beat Aldershot9/2-£10.00
16/12Lincoln to beat Notts County7/4+£17.50
11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dagenham3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£10.52

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

31/03Rochdale v Exeter - sell Rochdale Mini Performance3030S+£0.00
20/03Shrewsbury v Morecambe - sell Shrewsbury Mini Performance3110S+£21.00
26/02Rochdale v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance160S-£16.00
13/02Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance2745B+£18.00
30/01Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance3245S-£13.00
21/01Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance2155S+£34.00
15/01Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance1435S+£21.00
04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total +£9.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

31/03Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
20/03Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
12/03Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/03Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
26/02Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
20/02Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
13/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
05/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
21/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
15/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
31/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
23/12Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/12Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£340.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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