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Beat the Bookies: Week 37

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 23/04/2009

DARLINGTON'S win over Rochdale ensured Beat the Bookies will once again make a profit this season - with just two weekend's to go. At the moment our spread betting is also showing a small profit. In contrast The Monkey's approach of having the same bet every week is proving rather poor value!

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 36

Bournemouth v Grimsby. It's very hard to forecast what's going to happen in this game, as news from the other game at Aldershot may well influence what happens on the pitch. A win for either team means they are safe, a draw for either team means they both need to draw their last game. As it happens Town have the much better form going into the game, and Bournemouth still have rumbling off-field problems to distract them. Town have won or had a good chance of winning nearly every game recently so have to be good value at 3/1 Selection: Grimsby

Aldershot v Chester. Both sides go into this match with injury and motivation problems, reading between the lines. However Chester have got to be favourites with their very existence at stake. Chester started the week as favourites but the money must have been going on Aldershot, as the home side now shade it with the bookies. Overall though the value has to be with Chester at 8/5. Selection: Chester

Darlington v Brentford. Darlo are not going to make the play-offs due to their 10 point deduction but their form is excellent and they could well turn over a Brentford side still celebrating their promotion. The Bees lost at nearby Dagenham in midweek and may well do not much better in the North East. At 9/4 Darlington look a tempting price. Selection: Darlington

Luton v Rochdale. Luton's final home game is bound to be an emotional occasion against a Rochdale side whose form has collapsed at the worst possible time. With many Luton players leaving in the summer they will be desperate to send the home fans, who have been magnificent all season, off with a win. At 3/1 the Hatters look very good value. Selection: Luton

Bradford v Rotherham City's season has fallen apart and they've got a local derby to rub their noses in it a bit more if they lose. With the Bantam's recent form it's amazing to see Rotherham as long as 11/4 Selection: Rotherham

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Bournemouth . (3/1, Bet365)
  • 2. Luton to beat Rochdale. (3/1, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • Prices not available.

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 40/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

16/04Darlington to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
16/04Accrington to beat Brentford8/1-£5.00
16/04Accrington (+1) to beat Brentford2.05-£5.00
09/04Darlington to beat Chesterfield7/2-£10.00
09/04Luton to beat Lincoln9/4-£10.00
03/04Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
03/04Bournemouth to beat Rochdale13/8+£16.25
31/03Bradford to beat Chester11/10-£10.00
31/03Bournemouth to beat Bury16/5-£10.00
20/03Chester to beat Bury13/2-£10.00
20/03Luton to beat Macclesfield16/5+£8.00
12/03Rotherham to beat Rochdale16/5+£32.00
12/03Luton to beat Aldershot2/1-£10.00
05/03Morecambe to beat Dagenham13/5+£26.00
05/03Barnet to beat Chester4/5+£8.00
26/02Bournemouth to beat Gillingham9/2-£10.00
26/02Barnet to beat Chesterfield4/1-£10.00
20/02Barnet to beat Bradford5/2+£25.00
20/02Morecambe to beat Aldershot11/4+£27.50
13/02Barnet to beat Notts County7/2-£10.00
13/02Exeter to beat Aldershot10/11+£9.09
05/02Dagenham to beat Bury11/4-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to beat Bradford4/1-£10.00
30/01Macclesfield to beat Rotherham7/2-£10.00
21/01Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0)4/5£0.00
21/01Tottenham to beat Man Utd8/1-£10.00
15/01Lincoln to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
15/01Luton to beat Darlington7/2-£10.00
06/01Exeter to beat Notts County6/4-£10.00
31/12Accrington to beat Rochdale5/1-£10.00
31/12Bournemouth to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
23/12Luton to beat Chesterfield14/5-£10.00
23/12Port Vale to beat Rotherham4/1-£10.00
23/12Bournemouth to beat Brentford9/2-£10.00
23/12Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale9/4-£10.00
16/12Grimsby to beat Aldershot9/2-£10.00
16/12Lincoln to beat Notts County7/4+£17.50
11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dagenham3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dagenham to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£41.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

09/04Rochdale v Port Vale: Sell Rochdale Mini Performance34S35-£1.00
03/04Exeter v Dagenham: Sell Dagenham Mini Performance2010S+£10.00
31/03Rochdale v Exeter - sell Rochdale Mini Performance3030S+£0.00
20/03Shrewsbury v Morecambe - sell Shrewsbury Mini Performance3110S+£21.00
26/02Rochdale v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance160S-£16.00
13/02Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance2745B+£18.00
30/01Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance3245S-£13.00
21/01Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance2155S+£34.00
15/01Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance1435S+£21.00
04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total +£18.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

16/04Grimsby to win 3-112/1-£10.00
09/04Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
03/04Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
31/03Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
20/03Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
12/03Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/03Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
26/02Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
20/02Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
13/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
05/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
21/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
15/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
31/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
23/12Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/12Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£370.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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