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Beat the Bookies: Week 6

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 10/09/2009

BRADFORD'S win at Shrewsbury ensured another winning weekend for Beat the Bookies and it means that the profits for the season are slowly notching up.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 6

This week decent bets seem to be few and far between.

Grimsby v Hereford. Both sides have had terrible starts and Town are decimated by injuries and suspensions. Anything could happen. Grimsby start as marginal favourites at 8/5. If they were playing anyone other than Hereford an away win might be the best bet. In the absence of more detailed team news, a low scoring draw might be worth considering at 12/5. Selection: Draw

Bournemouth v Lincoln. Lincoln had a great start under their new manager last week at home to Darlington and they have a much tougher task this weekend at Dean Court. Bournemouth have started well but have slipped up once or twice this season and it's worth betting on Lincoln now they have their wind in the sails of a new man in charge. It's quite unusual to start at a new job in mid-table so Lincoln were already not the worst side in the division by any means. City can be backed at 4/1 with Stan James. Selection: Lincoln

Bradford v Burton. After a poor start Bradford have really started to find form. They are short odds but look good value at Evens to win their fifth game on the trot against a Burton side who have not won in two. Selection: Bradford

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Bradford to beat Burton. . (Evens, Bet365)
  • 2. Lincoln to beat Bournemouth. . (4/1, Stan James)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 22/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total +£65.27

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total +£4.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£60.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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