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Come on Town!

Beat the Bookies: Week 11

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 16/10/2009

TORQUAY came so close to beating Notts County last week. It was very frustrating, But sadly it meant another losing week for Beat the Bookies. We can only console ourselves that the game was much closer than the bookies believed it would have been.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 11


Grimsby v Rochdale. The bookies are strongly favouring Rochdale is this game, unsurprising given the recent form. Town though, with several new players in their ranks, will potentially be much better than they have been in recent weeks. The new signings will hopefully give all the players and supporters a lift and this could well see a much improved performance. All the value in this game clearly lies with the home team at 3/1 Selection: Grimsby

Crewe v Port Vale. Crewe's unexpected win at Bradford last week aside, they are on a terrible run after a decent start to the season. Vale are an inconsistent side, but have shown a steady improvement of late and are well capable at picking up maximum points at Gresty Road. You can back Vale at 13/5 Selection: Port Vale

Rotherham v Notts County. You'd be making a handsome profit if you'd back County to lose every game this season on the road. They looked very unconvincing last week and the sacking of their manager could go either way on their form. Fundamentally though on last week's showing County will struggle against a strong home side. Rotherham can be backed at 13/10. Selection: Rotherham

Darlington v Shrewsbury. Poor old Darlo. They always seem to lose 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1. Always the bridesmaid and never the bride. This week they entertain the in form Shrews. It has to be an away win, surely! Or does it? That's what everyone is thinking so let's hope the 11/4 for a home win is one of the bargain's of the week. Selection: Darlington

Dagenham v Bradford. Dagenham were not that impressive against Darlo last week, and before that had struggled in recent games. City's form has been poor of late, but they may well get a kick up the backside after last week's home defeat by Crewe and could well respond with a good result in Essex. You can bet on Bradford at 3/1 Selection: Bradford

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Rochdale. . (3/1, Bet365)
  • 2. Bradford to beat Dagenham. . (7/2, Totesport)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance (28 at extrabet.com)

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 20/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£17.73


Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total +£23.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£140.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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