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The lot on Town!
The lot on Town!

Beat the Bookies: Week 14

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 13/11/2009

LAST week is best not mentioned at all. There is no FA Cup this season. Any bets placed on it have been included in the tables but must never be spoken of. It never took place.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 14


Here's the best League Two bets after the cup distractions we've had recently.

Northampton v Grimsby Northampton have been doing well at home recently, but Grimsby put in an improved performance in midweek and just might be about to spring an upset. Town's team looks like being a settled one for once and there are no suspensions. You can back Town at 9/2 with 888.com. Selection: Grimsby

Shrewsbury v Torquay Shrewsbury have definitely been wobbling recently and were beaten by Staines at home in the cup. Torquay on the other hand have improved hugely in recent games and have won their last two. Totesport's 7/2 on Torquay looks great value. Selection: Torquay 4/1

Barnet v Hereford Barnet have beaten Darlo in their last two home games, but now face Hereford, who have put together a solid set of results recently. Before the Darlo games Barnet had not been playing well so the 10/3 on offer for an away win might be worth pursuing. Selection: Hereford

Aldershot v Macclesfield Both sides have been pretty hit and miss and late and all three outcomes are not unlikely. The 7/2 on offer for an away win is well worth a look. Selection: Macclesfield

Bury v Notts County We say it every week. Oppose Notts County in every game and you will probably return a profit. This week Bury are 2/1. Selection: Bury

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Northampton. . (9/2, 888.com)
  • 2. Torquay to beat Shrewsbury. . (7/2, Totesport)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 50/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
05/11Darlington to beat Barnet11/2-£10.00
05/11Bradford to beat Notts County4/1-£10.00
22/10Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
16/10Grimsby to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/10Bradford to beat Dagenham7/2-£10.00
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£12.73


Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
22/10Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance30/td>S75-£45.00
16/10Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance28S10+£10.00
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total +£6.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
10/11Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/11Grimsby to win 3-111/1-£10.00
30/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£190.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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