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Beat the Bookies: Week 16

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 03/12/2009

AFTER a couple weeks of ill health and general inertia (and of course losses) Beat the Bookies is back, looking at the League Two Betting scene.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 14

Grimsby v Dagenham Neither side have had many wins recently, and Dagenham were thrashed 5-2 at home in midweek. Other recent results mean Town really have to go for wins at home, draws are not good enough at Blundell Park. It's about time Town did the business after coming close at Macclesfield and the 5/2 on offer for a home win against an out of form side looks good value. Selection: Grimsby

Bournemouth v Shrewsbury There's been a lot of draws in League Two recently, and these two teams seems to have been involved in a lot of them (along with us)! In truth there's not a lot to choose between the sides and it's hard to see why the Shrews are 3/1. Selection: Shrewsbury

Rochdale v Macclesfield Rochdale are the in-form team but they've had quite a few upsets this season at home and at 11/2 anyone in this division is worth a punt especially in a local derby. Selection: Macclesfield

Rotherham v Burton Albion Rotherham have done well recently but most of their fixtures have been against the poorer sides so their recent form might flatter them. At 9/2 Burton are worth considering. They are a steady side who don't often lose heavily. Selection: Burton Albion

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Dagenham. . (5/2. bet365)
  • 2. Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth. . (15/4,

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 33/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

20/11Grimsby to beat Lincoln11/4-£20.00
13/11Grimsby to beat Northampton9/2-£10.00
13/11Torquay to beat Shrewsbury7/2-£10.00
05/11Darlington to beat Barnet11/2-£10.00
05/11Bradford to beat Notts County4/1-£10.00
22/10Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
16/10Grimsby to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/10Bradford to beat Dagenham7/2-£10.00
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£52.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

22/10Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance30/td>S75-£45.00
16/10Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance28S10+£10.00
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total +£6.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

28/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
24/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
21/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
13/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
10/11Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/11Grimsby to win 3-111/1-£10.00
30/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£230.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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