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Cheers Accrington!
Cheers Accrington!

Beat the Bookies: Week 18

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 16/12/2009

ACCRINGTON finally broke Beat the Bookies's losing streak, and in some style. A 7/1 winner paid out £70 in last week's tip. Sadly Darlo did not oblige with a double, instead they were thrashed again!

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 16

Grimsby v Morecambe. Morecambe's record in the last five games is quite simply perfect: 5 wins, scored 15, conceded 0. With Town's recent scoring record Morecambe would seem to be guaranteed a point just by turning up with their defence. The bookies are offering Evens for a Morecambe win, but with Grimsby forced to make a defensive change with Olly Lancashire out, the odds would seem to be a little better than that. Selection: Morecambe

Bury v Macclesfield. Both of these clubs are inconsistent at the moment, and all three results would seem possible. The fact that it's a local derby though means Bury's good home record might be tested more than a more distant club might manage. 9/2 for an away win looks a shade generous and it might well be worth backing the Silkmen who had a good win last week. Selection: Macclesfield

Bournemouth v Notts County. The bookies have finally cottoned on to the fact that Notts County's bubble could well have burst. Bournemouth are favourites to win this game, a fixture which County won just a few weeks ago in the cup. The Cherries though are definitely not the side they were earlier in the season and you have to wonder if the bookies have actually strayed too far in the opposite direction. You can pick up Notts County for 9/4. Selection: Notts County

Accrington v Barnet. Accrington are on a tremendous run at the moment whereas Barnet are sinking rapidly down the league. There really does look only one result on Friday night and you can still get Evens with Betfred for a home win. Selection: Accrington This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Morecambe to beat Grimsby. . (Evens, Bet365)
  • 2. Accrington to beat Barmet. . (Evens, Betfred)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 33/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

10/12Accrington to beat Notts County7/1+£70.00
10/12Darlington to beat Torquay5/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to beat Dagenham5/2-£10.00
03/12Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth15/4-£10.00
20/11Grimsby to beat Lincoln11/4-£20.00
13/11Grimsby to beat Northampton9/2-£10.00
13/11Torquay to beat Shrewsbury7/2-£10.00
05/11Darlington to beat Barnet11/2-£10.00
05/11Bradford to beat Notts County4/1-£10.00
22/10Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
22/10Darlington to beat Barnet5/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/10Bradford to beat Dagenham7/2-£10.00
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£22.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

10/12Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance24/td>S55-£31.00
22/10Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance30/td>S75-£45.00
16/10Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance28S10+£10.00
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total -£25.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

10/12Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
28/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
24/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
21/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
13/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
10/11Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/11Grimsby to win 3-111/1-£10.00
30/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£250.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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