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Beat the Bookies: Week 14

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 08/11/2012

JUST one winner last week but the fact that Macclesfield were 10/1 to win at Swindon meant that a healthy profit nevertheless was recorded to bring the winnings for the season to over 300 quid (from a total stake of 520 quid).

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 14

The other FA Cup tips weren't far off either: Cambridge City had their chances against MK Dons and Hendon were beating Aldershot for a large chunk of the game at the Rec. All in all the number of long odds shocks confirmed what we find most years - the early rounds of the FA Cup are a punter's paradise.

Town are strong favourites to beat Woking this weekend. Woking are one of the most inconsistent sides in the division. They're either good or very bad. You'd expect Town to take all the points based on reports of the Surrey side's last two games, but you'd have to put a lot of money on Town to win to get much of a return.

Premier League

  • Everton v Sunderland - away win (8.6, Smarkets). Everton seem to be doing well but a close inspection of their form tells you they have only won 1 out of 6. Sunderland haven't won many but they have conceded very few so they're not a million miles off where they need to be to win games.

  • Reading v Norwich - away win (3.4, Marathon). Reading seem to leak bad goals in every game this season. They still haven't won a game yet this season. Norwich have pulled away from the relegation zone in recent weeks and on current form you'd expect Norwich to be favourites, not the Royals.

    League Two

  • Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win (4.75, Boylesports). On recent form there's not much to choose between these two sides so it's surprising to see Cheltenham as such strong favourites. Burton had a good win at Plymouth on Tuesday night so they're obviously in good nick and may fancy another away trip to the West Country!

    Blue Square Premier

  • Forest Green v Stockport - away win (5.09, Pinnacle). Big spending Forest Green have won just 1 of 6, and lost the other 5. Stockport are steadily climbing up the league, and their only recent league loss was a 3-2 defeat to Wrexham - hardly a drubbing!

  • Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win (3.25, Bet 365). Tamworth have lost 5 out of 6 games, AFC Telford have lost just 1 out of 6 in the same period. If that's anything to go by an away win looks the most likely of the three possible outcomes.


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    Premier Total £-68.10
    Champ Total £113.10
    L1 Total £100.10
    L2 Total £89.53
    BSP Total £-14.90
    BSS Total £-5.00
    Cups Total £92.00
    Grand Total £306.73

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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