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Beat the Bookies: Week 17

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 30/11/2012

JUST one winner last week, and the odds were not enough to cover the rest of the losing bets. The less said about the two FA Trophy bets last week the better - we tipped Woking to lose and they beat Farnborough 7-0! The other one wasn't much better.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 17

The FA Cup is a long odds punters paradise. Every round there are upsets at huge odds, it's just backing the right one, but if you do you are laughing! League leaders Grimsby (how nice it is to type that!) head to Ebbsfleet as favourites to win, On paper you'd expect Town to triumph but the recent FA Trophy performances and the fact that Grimsby had to play on Wednesday before a long trip to Kent mean we'd be reluctant to tip the Mariners at the odds on offer as there's probably better value around.

Premier League

  • West Ham v Chelsea - home win (4.3. Marathon). Chelsea are in poor form, the disillusionment amongst the supporters seems to be almost universal, and West Ham, never an easy ground to play at, are doing rather well.

  • Liverpool v Southampton - away win (9.0. Totesport). Liverpool, like Chelsea are sliding down the league. Southampton look like they are starting to come to terms with the Premier League, and could be good for at least a point and who knows all three,


  • Leicester v Derby - away win (5.91, Pinnacle). Both teams are going well at the moment, but looking at the recent form there doesn't seem to be much to separate the sides. It is surprising therefore to see such a long price for the away win.

    FA Cup

  • Oldham v Doncaster - away win (5.5, Sporting Bet). Donny are on fire at the moment, and have won the last four games. They beat Oldham in the league at Boundary Park last week.
  • Crawley v Chelmsford - away win (8.5, Betway). Crawley are on a really bad run at the moment, and Chelmsford are doing really well in the Conference South and are top of the form table.


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £-38.10
    Champ Total £125.50
    L1 Total £80.10
    L2 Total £59.53
    BSP Total £-34.90
    BSS Total £-25.00
    Cups Total £92.00
    Grand Total £259.13

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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