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The Battle is on
The Battle is on

Beat the Bookies: Week 18

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 07/12/2012

JUST one winner last week, and the odds were not quite enough to cover the rest of the losing bets. However they were all long odds so that in itself is not an unlikely event if you set the bar so high.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 18

Grimsby take on Tamworth this week in a match which Town are predictably favourites to win. Tamworth had a good win over Dartford last weekend and lost narrowly in midweek to Kidderminster. Town have won their last two home games convincingly but with the side chopping and changing quite a bit it's hard to see value in the price for a home win. The best odds look for a draw with Pinnacle who are offering 4.31.

Premier League

  • Fulham v Newcastle - away win (4.75. Sporting Bet). Both team have awful form but Newcastle must take some confidence from a convincing win over Wigan exactly a week before. The only downside is the extra game the Geordies have had to play in the Europa Cup but the fact that this game is on Monday may hopefully alleviate that.

    League One

  • Swindon v Doncaster - away win (4.26, Pinnacle). A very long price for Donny considering they are second and Swindon have lost the last two games. Blue Square Premier

  • Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win (4.33, 888 Sport). Neither of these sides have been particularly convincing or reliable for a while, but this game looks more even that the bookies are suggesting.
  • Grimsby v Tamworth - draw (4.31, Pinnacle). Pinnacle's price for a draw stood out from the rest of the betting industry at the time of writing. Grimsby have been swapping and changing their side quite a bit in recent weeks so a home win might not be the formality the bookies are suggesting.
  • Luton v Alfreton Town - away win (6.5, 888 Sport). Luton have won 2 from 6, but Alfreton have won 3, and that includes a defeat against Leyton Orient in the cup, where they were unlucky to lose.
  • Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals (4.75, Sporting Bet). Both teams have a total of 25 goals in their last 6 games, averaging over 4!

    bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £-15.10
    Champ Total £125.50
    L1 Total £70.10
    L2 Total £49.53
    BSP Total £-34.90
    BSS Total £-25.00
    Cups Total £92.00
    Grand Total £262.13

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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