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Beat the Bookies: Week 24

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 18/01/2013

LAST week was a very successful haul with four winners, three of which were long odds! Barnet's win at Rotherham was pick of the bunch, followed by Wendy's shock triumph at Hull. And don't forget Bradford's demise to Oxford.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 24

No Town game this weekend, and few games outside of the top flight probably so this week we're going to concentrate on the Premier League.

Premier League

  • Wigan v Sunderland - away win (3.88, Pinnacle). Wigan have won just one of their last nine Premier League games, and recently improved Sunderland have won 3 out of 4 against Wigan in the Premier League, so the odds of an away win look fairly generous.
  • West Brom v Aston Villa (5.5, Marathon). WBA are having a better season than neighbours Villa, but they haven't won for ages. Neither have Villa but they were very unlucky to lose to Southampton last week, so are probably better than the odds suggest - especially in a local derby.
  • Liverpool v Norwich - away win (11.0, Marathon). You'd naturally assume looking at this fixture that a home win would be overwhelmingly likely. But then look at the league table. Liverpool have 31 pts and Norwich have 26 pts - in other words there's not that big a gap. So this price looks a bargain!


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    11/01Norwich v Newcastle - away win3.50£-10.00
    11/01Dartford v Bromley - away win6.00£-10.00
    11/01Hull v Sheff Wed - away win6.03£50.30
    11/01Stevenage v Doncaster - away win2.75£17.50
    11/01Rotherham v Barnet - away win7.50£65.00
    11/01Bradford v Oxford Utd - away win4.06£30.60
    11/01Gateshead v Barrow - away win5.50£0.00
    11/01Sutton v Wrexham - home win6.20£-10.00
    03/01Hull City v Leyton Orient - away win9.00£-10.00
    03/01Southampton v Chelsea - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01West Ham United v Manchester United - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Gateshead v Nuneaton - away win4.90£-10.00
    03/01Kidderminster v Barrow - away win7.00£-10.00
    27/12Stoke v Southampton - away win5.20£-10.00
    27/12Arsenal v Newcastle - away win9.00£-10.00
    27/12Fulham v Swansea - away win3.65£26.50
    27/12MK Dons v Coventry - away win4.41£34.10
    27/12Rotherham v Accrington Stanley - away win6.60£-10.00
    27/12Exeter v Barnet - away win4.80£-10.00
    27/12Dartford v Cambridge Utd - away win3.20£-10.00
    27/12Southport v Hyde - away win3.15£21.50
    20/12Bury v Shrewsbury - away win3.21£-10.00
    14/12Liverpool v Aston Villa - away win10.19£91.90
    14/12Doncaster v Coventry - away win3.25£22.50
    14/12Accrington Stanley v Wycombe - away win3.10£21.00
    14/12Woking -1.5 v Welling United - home win (AH)3.70£-10.00
    14/12Dartford v Tonbridge - away win6.00£-10.00
    14/12Hayes & Yeading v Dover - away win2.00£10.00
    07/12Fulham v Newcastle - away win4.75£-10.00
    07/12Leicester v Derby - away win5.91£-10.00
    07/12Swindon v Doncaster - away win4.26£-10.00
    07/12Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win4.33£-10.00
    07/12Grimsby v Tamworth - draw4.31£-10.00
    07/12Luton v Alfreton Town - away win6.50£-10.00
    07/12Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals4.75£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £63.30
    Champ Total £165.80
    L1 Total £124.20
    L2 Total £146.13
    BSP Total £-83.40
    BSS Total £-15.00
    Cups Total £22.00
    Grand Total £423.03

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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