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Beat the Bookies: Week 25

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 24/01/2013

JUST three tips last week, but there was one winner (Sunderland's win at Wigan), which meant a small overall profit for the weekend as a whole. Had Villa held on to their two goal lead against WBA it would have been a lot more profitable.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 25

Town head to Cambridge this weekend, with United having several players out injured. Grimsby are generally priced around 6/4 which looks a reasonable price. Town haven't been firing on all cylinders themselves in recent games. They have ground out a couple of wins against Welling and Hyde, but Cambridge will be a tougher challenge on paper than either of those teams. There's probably better value elsewhere.

League One

  • Bournemouth v Crewe - away win (5.58, Pinnacle). Bournemouth have won just one from the last six, Crewe have won three. Only six points separate the sides and Crewe have a game in hand. It could be a lot closer then the bookies suggest.

    League Two

  • Bradford v Wycombe - away win (5.12, Pinnacle). Bradford's recent form is terrible in League 2. They have obviously got their minds on other things with a cup final coming up. Wycombe have won 3 from 6, they've really stepped up a gear in recent weeks.
  • Burton Albion v Barnet - away win (4.35, Marathon). Barnet are always a good bet at this time of year. They have won 4 from 6 and done pretty well in the other two games as well. Burton are doing well too but the value always lies with Barnet in the latter half of the season!

    FA Cup

  • Reading v Sheffield United - away win (6.0, 888 Sport). Reading have a big game with Chelsea coming up just a few days after this FA Cup clash, which probably won't be a priority. They are bound to rest a few players as the quest to stay in the Premier League is top priority.
  • QPR v MK Dons - away win (6.0, 888 Sport). The same comments apply as to Reading - and the same odds, and the same bookie. QPR play Man City in the Premier League next midweek, they obviously will rest players. MK Dons like Sheff Utd are a very capable team near the top of League 1 and will be a real threat.

    bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
    18/01West Brom v Aston Villa5.50£-10.00
    18/01Wigan v Sunderland - away win3.88£28.80
    18/01Liverpool v Norwich - away win11.00£-10.00
    11/01Rotherham v Barnet - away win7.50£65.00
    11/01Norwich v Newcastle - away win3.50£-10.00
    11/01Hull v Sheff Wed - away win6.03£50.30
    11/01Stevenage v Doncaster - away win2.75£17.50
    11/01Bradford v Oxford Utd - away win4.06£30.60
    11/01Gateshead v Barrow - away win5.50£0.00
    11/01Sutton v Wrexham - home win6.20£-10.00
    11/01Dartford v Bromley - away win6.00£-10.00
    03/01Southampton v Chelsea - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Hull City v Leyton Orient - away win9.00£-10.00
    03/01West Ham United v Manchester United - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Gateshead v Nuneaton - away win4.90£-10.00
    03/01Kidderminster v Barrow - away win7.00£-10.00
    27/12Stoke v Southampton - away win5.20£-10.00
    27/12Arsenal v Newcastle - away win9.00£-10.00
    27/12Fulham v Swansea - away win3.65£26.50
    27/12MK Dons v Coventry - away win4.41£34.10
    27/12Rotherham v Accrington Stanley - away win6.60£-10.00
    27/12Exeter v Barnet - away win4.80£-10.00
    27/12Dartford v Cambridge Utd - away win3.20£-10.00
    27/12Southport v Hyde - away win3.15£21.50
    20/12Bury v Shrewsbury - away win3.21£-10.00
    14/12Liverpool v Aston Villa - away win10.19£91.90
    14/12Doncaster v Coventry - away win3.25£22.50
    14/12Accrington Stanley v Wycombe - away win3.10£21.00
    14/12Woking -1.5 v Welling United - home win (AH)3.70£-10.00
    14/12Dartford v Tonbridge - away win6.00£-10.00
    14/12Hayes & Yeading v Dover - away win2.00£10.00
    07/12Fulham v Newcastle - away win4.75£-10.00
    07/12Leicester v Derby - away win5.91£-10.00
    07/12Swindon v Doncaster - away win4.26£-10.00
    07/12Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win4.33£-10.00
    07/12Grimsby v Tamworth - draw4.31£-10.00
    07/12Luton v Alfreton Town - away win6.50£-10.00
    07/12Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals4.75£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £72.10
    Champ Total £165.80
    L1 Total £124.20
    L2 Total £146.13
    BSP Total £-83.40
    BSS Total £-15.00
    Cups Total £22.00
    Grand Total £431.83

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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