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Beat the Bookies: Week 28

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 14/02/2013

ALL four tips lost last week in a fairly dismal weekend for our recommendations. It's the FA Cup and the FA Trophy though this weekend - plenty of opportunity to win back that money.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 28

Town are overwhelming favourites to beat Dartford this weekend. The best price you'll get on them is a miserly 1.6. The Darts have already won at Blundell Park, and they beat Luton in midweek so if anything the value lies in the away win at 5.5. It's also the main thrust of their season as the play-offs look like they're a distant prospect now for the Kent club.

Wrexham v Gainsborough is a similar game as well. Wrexham, like Grimsby, will view the FA Trophy as a welcome distraction, but very much a secondary competition. For Gainsborough it will be the most important game of the season, in their minds.

If you are brave go for Dartford and Gainsborough to cause upsets - they've had a few already otherwise they wouldn't be at this stage of the competition.


  • Cardiff v Bristol City - away win (7.5, Marathon). Bristol City have been a club transformed since Sean O'Driscoll took over. They looked doomed to go down when he took charge but since then they've had quite a few unlikely victories and have won 3 out of the last 4 games going in to this seemingly impossible task of winning at the Champions Elect Cardiff

    League One

  • Tranmere v Shrewsbury - away win (4.6, Bwin). Tranmere at one point were well clear at the top but have definitely been wobbling of late and lost 4 out of 6. Shrewsbury in contrast have lost just two from six, and those were against two of the better sides in the division: Sheff Utd and Swindon.

  • Bury v Coventry - away win (2.4, Betway). Coventry are one of the form sides of League One (3 wins in 6) whereas Bury (1 win in 6) are struggling at the bottom and don't seem to be showing much signs of pulling away from the relegation zone.

    League Two

  • York v Barnet - away win (4.2, Betway). York have not won for 8 games, and could be sucked into the relegation battle if things don't improve seen. Barnet at one point had a mini revival with a string of fine results, and they seem to be a club on the up with what's happening off the pitch. The purple patch has come to and end with no wins for three games, but York offers the perfect chance to put some distance between the Bees and the bottom two.

    FA Trophy/Cup

  • Grimsby v Dartford - away win (6.2, Canbet). Darts have already won at Blundell Park and they have had a good result in midweek. Town have not been playing that well recently.

  • Arsenal v Blackburn - away win (12.5, Bwin). Arsenal lost in the League Cup to Bradford. Blackburn are a much better team than the Bantams and they are in very decent form at the moment. With the Champions League just round the corner the Gunners could well drop one or two of their better players for this game.


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    07/02Chesterfield v AFC Wimbledon - away win5.00£-10.00
    07/02Notts County v Crewe - away win3.75£-10.00
    07/02Stoke v Reading - away win4.60£-10.00
    07/02Newport County v Tamworth - away win5.20£-10.00
    01/02Blackpool v Barnsley - away win5.25£42.50
    01/02Reading v Sunderland - away win31.00£-10.00
    01/02Blackburn v Bristol City - away win5.54£-10.00
    01/02Watford v Bolton - away win3.60£-10.00
    01/02Rotherham v Northampton - away win4.00£-10.00
    01/02Forest Green v Wrexham - away win3.00£-10.00
    24/01Bournemouth v Crewe - away win5.58£-10.00
    24/01Bradford v Wycombe - away win5.12£0.00
    24/01Burton Albion v Barnet - away win4.35£-10.00
    24/01Reading v Sheffield United - away win6.00£-10.00
    24/01QPR v MK Dons - away win6.00£50.00
    18/01Liverpool v Norwich - away win11.00£-10.00
    18/01West Brom v Aston Villa5.50£-10.00
    18/01Wigan v Sunderland - away win3.88£28.80
    11/01Norwich v Newcastle - away win3.50£-10.00
    11/01Hull v Sheff Wed - away win6.03£50.30
    11/01Stevenage v Doncaster - away win2.75£17.50
    11/01Rotherham v Barnet - away win7.50£65.00
    11/01Bradford v Oxford Utd - away win4.06£30.60
    11/01Gateshead v Barrow - away win5.50£0.00
    11/01Sutton v Wrexham - home win6.20£-10.00
    11/01Dartford v Bromley - away win6.00£-10.00
    03/01Kidderminster v Barrow - away win7.00£-10.00
    03/01Hull City v Leyton Orient - away win9.00£-10.00
    03/01Southampton v Chelsea - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01West Ham United v Manchester United - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Gateshead v Nuneaton - away win4.90£-10.00
    27/12Arsenal v Newcastle - away win9.00£-10.00
    27/12Fulham v Swansea - away win3.65£26.50
    27/12MK Dons v Coventry - away win4.41£34.10
    27/12Rotherham v Accrington Stanley - away win6.60£-10.00
    27/12Exeter v Barnet - away win4.80£-10.00
    27/12Dartford v Cambridge Utd - away win3.20£-10.00
    27/12Southport v Hyde - away win3.15£21.50
    27/12Stoke v Southampton - away win5.20£-10.00
    20/12Bury v Shrewsbury - away win3.21£-10.00
    14/12Hayes & Yeading v Dover - away win2.00£10.00
    14/12Dartford v Tonbridge - away win6.00£-10.00
    14/12Woking -1.5 v Welling United - home win (AH)3.70£-10.00
    14/12Accrington Stanley v Wycombe - away win3.10£21.00
    14/12Doncaster v Coventry - away win3.25£22.50
    14/12Liverpool v Aston Villa - away win10.19£91.90
    07/12Fulham v Newcastle - away win4.75£-10.00
    07/12Leicester v Derby - away win5.91£-10.00
    07/12Swindon v Doncaster - away win4.26£-10.00
    07/12Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win4.33£-10.00
    07/12Grimsby v Tamworth - draw4.31£-10.00
    07/12Luton v Alfreton Town - away win6.50£-10.00
    07/12Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals4.75£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £52.10
    Champ Total £188.30
    L1 Total £94.20
    L2 Total £126.13
    BSP Total £-103.40
    BSS Total £-15.00
    Cups Total £62.00
    Grand Total £404.33

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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