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Beat the Bookies: Week 30

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 01/03/2013

TWO wins out of five last week brought another healthy profit, now over £600 for the season. Pick of the bunch was AFC Wimbledon's win at Dagenham to lift them away from the foot of the table.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 30

Town play Macclesfield in this week's televised Conference game. Town are favourites to win, something they have only managed 5 times this season so far (Wrexham by contrast have won 10 away games, even Macclesfield have won six). Neither team loses often (the blip of Macclesfield's blip at home to Gateshead last week aside), the draw looks the best bet at around 3.4.

Premier League

  • Swansea v Newcastle - away win (3.88, 5 Dimes). Swansea impressed in last weekend's cup final but you have to take into account the standard of the opposition. Their league form of late has been average. Newcastle strengthened the team during the transfer window and their results have turned around dramatically in the last few weeks.


  • Blackpool v Bristol City - away win (5.75, Marathon). Bristol City have been a club transformed since Sean O'Driscoll took over. They've won all their recent home games, it's been the away form that has been trickier to turn around. But then the last three always have been at Cardiff, Palace and Blackburn and Blackpool are not in the same league. They look like they're destined for mid-table mediocrity and their form has not been anything special of late.

  • Brighton v Huddersfield - away win (6.0, Marathon). Huddersfield have been fighting for their lives at the bottom of the division and had a good win at Burnley in midweek. The recent form doesn't show a great deal of difference between the two sides, so the away win looks the best value.

    League One

  • Doncaster v Hartlepool - away win (5.00, William Hill). A few weeks ago Hartlepool would be 10-1 plus to win at the league leaders. However their recent form makes them still good value at 4/1. Don't even look at the league table for this game, look straight at the form table. Pools have 14 points from 6 games, Doncaster have six.

    League Two

  • Cheltenham v AFC Wimbledon - away win (5.0, Sky Bet). Wimbledon has a good win at Daggers last week and this week head to Cheltenham. Town have won just one in six games, while the Dons showed last week that they can pull a rabbit out of the fire and get all three points away from home. Cheltenham have recently drawn at home with Bristol Rovers and Aldershot so obviously struggle to beat the bottom sides on their own ground

    Blue Square Premier League

  • Gateshead v Braintree Town - Away Win (3.4, 888 Sport). Gateshead have been terrible for weeks when they have managed to play. Last week's result at Macclesfield was a massive exception when they won 4-0. Was this a freak result, or the beginning of a purple patch? Either way Braintree are doing much better than Gateshead of late. Note that this game isn't really a home game for Gateshead either as it's played at Hartlepool. The crowd will struggle to make three figures, it will be more like a reserve game.

  • Macclesfield v Grimsby - Draw (3.4, Sky Bet). Gateshead have been terrible for weeks when they have managed to play Last week's result at Macclesfield was a massive exception when they won 4-0. Was this a freak result, or the beginning of a purple patch? Either way Braintree are doing much better than Gateshead of late. Note that this game isn't really a home game for Gateshead either as it's played at Hartlepool. The crowd will struggle to make three figures, it will be more like a reserve game.


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    21/02Dag & Red v AFC Wimbledon - away win4.26£32.60
    21/02Bournemouth v Sheffield Utd - away win3.60£26.00
    21/02Brentford v Walsall - away win4.89£-10.00
    21/02West Brom v Sunderland - away win4.65£-10.00
    21/02Grimsby v Dartford - Over 4.5 goals4.65£-10.00
    14/02Tranmere v Shrewsbury - away win4.60£36.00
    14/02Cardiff v Bristol City - away win7.50£-10.00
    14/02Bury v Coventry - away win2.40£14.00
    14/02York v Barnet - away win4.20£32.00
    14/02Grimsby v Dartford - away win6.20£-10.00
    14/02Arsenal v Blackburn - away win12.50£115.00
    07/02Newport County v Tamworth - away win5.20£-10.00
    07/02Chesterfield v AFC Wimbledon - away win5.00£-10.00
    07/02Notts County v Crewe - away win3.75£-10.00
    07/02Stoke v Reading - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/02Reading v Sunderland - away win31.00£-10.00
    01/02Blackpool v Barnsley - away win5.25£42.50
    01/02Watford v Bolton - away win3.60£-10.00
    01/02Rotherham v Northampton - away win4.00£-10.00
    01/02Forest Green v Wrexham - away win3.00£-10.00
    01/02Blackburn v Bristol City - away win5.54£-10.00
    24/01Bournemouth v Crewe - away win5.58£-10.00
    24/01QPR v MK Dons - away win6.00£50.00
    24/01Reading v Sheffield United - away win6.00£-10.00
    24/01Burton Albion v Barnet - away win4.35£-10.00
    24/01Bradford v Wycombe - away win5.12£0.00
    18/01West Brom v Aston Villa5.50£-10.00
    18/01Liverpool v Norwich - away win11.00£-10.00
    18/01Wigan v Sunderland - away win3.88£28.80
    11/01Hull v Sheff Wed - away win6.03£50.30
    11/01Stevenage v Doncaster - away win2.75£17.50
    11/01Rotherham v Barnet - away win7.50£65.00
    11/01Bradford v Oxford Utd - away win4.06£30.60
    11/01Gateshead v Barrow - away win5.50£0.00
    11/01Sutton v Wrexham - home win6.20£-10.00
    11/01Dartford v Bromley - away win6.00£-10.00
    11/01Norwich v Newcastle - away win3.50£-10.00
    03/01Hull City v Leyton Orient - away win9.00£-10.00
    03/01Southampton v Chelsea - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01West Ham United v Manchester United - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Gateshead v Nuneaton - away win4.90£-10.00
    03/01Kidderminster v Barrow - away win7.00£-10.00
    27/12Arsenal v Newcastle - away win9.00£-10.00
    27/12Fulham v Swansea - away win3.65£26.50
    27/12MK Dons v Coventry - away win4.41£34.10
    27/12Rotherham v Accrington Stanley - away win6.60£-10.00
    27/12Exeter v Barnet - away win4.80£-10.00
    27/12Dartford v Cambridge Utd - away win3.20£-10.00
    27/12Southport v Hyde - away win3.15£21.50
    27/12Stoke v Southampton - away win5.20£-10.00
    20/12Bury v Shrewsbury - away win3.21£-10.00
    14/12Hayes & Yeading v Dover - away win2.00£10.00
    14/12Dartford v Tonbridge - away win6.00£-10.00
    14/12Woking -1.5 v Welling United - home win (AH)3.70£-10.00
    14/12Accrington Stanley v Wycombe - away win3.10£21.00
    14/12Liverpool v Aston Villa - away win10.19£91.90
    14/12Doncaster v Coventry - away win3.25£22.50
    07/12Fulham v Newcastle - away win4.75£-10.00
    07/12Leicester v Derby - away win5.91£-10.00
    07/12Swindon v Doncaster - away win4.26£-10.00
    07/12Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win4.33£-10.00
    07/12Grimsby v Tamworth - draw4.31£-10.00
    07/12Luton v Alfreton Town - away win6.50£-10.00
    07/12Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals4.75£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    Premier Total £42.10
    Champ Total £178.30
    L1 Total £160.20
    L2 Total £190.73
    BSP Total £-103.40
    BSS Total £-15.00
    Cups Total £157.00
    Grand Total £609.93

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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