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Beat the Bookies: Week 9

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 02/10/2009

LAST week saw a small loss recorded, although had Port Vale done a bit better at Notts County it might have been a different story.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 9


Barnet v Grimsby. Grimsby have not been firing on all cylinders recently, but will eventually click once everybody is fit and Newell happens upon the best team and formation. Barnet have had a good start, but the Mariners have a good record at Underhill and normally get a good vocal backing from a crowd augmented by London exiles. Town can be backed at 7/2. Selection: Grimsby

Chesterfield v Accrington Stanley. Stanley have had some cracking results this season and have had a boost off the field this week with their financial situation. Chesterfield score a lot and concede a lot which means the opposition always has a chance. Stanley are worth a punt at 7/2. Selection: Accrington Stanley

Morecambe v Shrewsbury. Last year Shrewsbury just couldn't win at home. This year it's not a problem. The Shrews have put in some great performances on the road. Morecambe have improved a lot in recent weeks after a poor start, but the away side are on a roll at the moment and are good value at 6/4. Selection: Shrewsbury

Lincoln v Aldershot. Apply the same comments as above really. Aldershot were hopeless on the road last season, but this year have improved massively on their travels. They beat Town fairly easily at Blundell Park and should do the same at Lincoln. Take your chances at 13/8 on an away win. Selection: Aldershot

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield. . (15/4, 888.com)
  • 2. Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe. . (6/4, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • None this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 40/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total +£23.27


Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total +£23.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£110.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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