National League Promotion & Relegation Calcula

Quoted from lukeo

1     Stockport     44     +52     99
2     Wrexham     44     +33     93
3     FC Halifax     44     +31     86
4     Notts County     44     +25     83
5     Solihull Moors     44     +30     82
6     Chesterfield     44     +24     82
7     Grimsby     44     +25     78
County v Grimsby
Solihull v Chesterfield

Pos     Team     P     GD     Pts
1     Stockport     44     +55     99
2     Wrexham     44     +47     92
3     FC Halifax     44     +31     87
4     Notts County     44     +21     83
5     Solihull Moors     44     +30     82
6     Grimsby     44     +22     80
7     Chesterfield     44     +25     79

Still getting roughly the same. Top 7 are the same.
County v Chesterfield
Solihull v Grimsby

I haven’t run the calculator but it seems to me that Boreham and Bromley are in poor form and unlikely to trouble the top seven. The only real threat comes from Dagenham. If Torquay beat us on Saturday they might just have an outside chance, otherwise they are out of it.
  
I think the top three are nailed on, so it’s four from the next five in the table for the remaining play off spots.

Saturday is key. If we win that, given our run in, i think we are certs for a play place but would imagine it’s 6th at best. So two very tough away games to reach the final,

Anyone done another calculation after yesterday?

Although not mathematically certain - Imho I think that’s the play off spots sorted, just in which position they end now. Notts have a run in which they ‘should’ pick up points..as do we.. Halifax should grab enough along with Wrexham to get 2nd and 3rd. Solihull 4th, Notts 5th, us 6th , chesterfield 7th? I’d take that tbh.

Think Solihull are the team to avoid, particularly away. Can see them upsetting Wrexham in all honesty.

I think we might win all 4. That could put us up at 4th or 5th given some of the other fixtures.

Just did it..I have Wrexham on 89, Solihull and Halifax on 87, Notts on 85, us on 82 and Chesterfield 79.

Might have to beat Notts County, Chesterfield and Stockport all away from BP

Quoted from marinerjase

Just did it..I have Wrexham on 89, Solihull and Halifax on 87, Notts on 85, us on 82 and Chesterfield 79.

Traitor!!!!! Who did you have us drawing with?

It’s interesting you have Notts picking up the maximum points.

Personally I think they’ll drop points. Possibly quite a few.

Dover have a few goals in them (scored 11 in last 6) and Notts have only the 11th best defence in National League and have conceded 8 in their last 5. Could easily see Dover getting at least a point on Tuesday.

Aldershot are 1 win from securing safety so Saturday is a massive opportunity for them. And Notts have lost a couple of their longer away trips (Eastleigh & Torquay).

And then there’s the most curious fixture in the National League. Maidenhead United away. They have only won 12 of their 40 matches this season. But… They have beaten Wrexham, Halifax, Chesterfield, Bromley, Boreham Wood & Southend at home whilst managing to lose to Wealdstone, Barnet & Kings Lynn at York Road. So a really tough final day for Notts.

Notts have played 7 of the current bottom 10 away so far and have only managed 1 win & 2 draws. That’s 5 points from 7. To think they are certs to pick up 3 wins from the other 3 matches is probably fanciable to say the least.

Quoted from GollyGTFC

Traitor!!!!! Who did you have us drawing with?

It’s interesting you have Notts picking up the maximum points.

Personally I think they’ll drop points. Possibly quite a few.

Dover have a few goals in them (scored 11 in last 6) and Notts have only the 11th best defence in National League and have conceded 8 in their last 5. Could easily see Dover getting at least a point on Tuesday.

Aldershot are 1 win from securing safety so Saturday is a massive opportunity for them. And Notts have lost a couple of their longer away trips (Eastleigh & Torquay).

And then there’s the most curious fixture in the National League. Maidenhead United away. They have only won 12 of their 40 matches this season. But… They have beaten Wrexham, Halifax, Chesterfield, Bromley, Boreham Wood & Southend at home whilst managing to lose to Wealdstone, Barnet & Kings Lynn at York Road. So a really tough final day for Notts.

Notts have played 7 of the current bottom 10 away so far and have only managed 1 win & 2 draws. That’s 5 points from 7. To think they are certs to pick up 3 wins from the other 3 matches is probably fanciable to say the least.

Statto! Statto! Statto!

Quoted from GollyGTFC

Just redone this and still have Town finishing 4th. But now have Solihull 5th & Notts 6th. Also have Chesterfield clinging on to the final relegation spot with Bromley in 8th.

That would give us…

QF: Grimsby v Chesterfield & Solihull v Notts
SF: Wrexham v Solihull/Notts & Halifax v Grimsby/Chesterfield

Just redone again after our win against Torquay and still have the exact same final table…

1 Stockport
——————-
2 Wrexham
3 Halifax
4 Grimsby
5 Solihull
6 Notts Co
7 Chesterfield
——————-
8 Bromley

Quarter-Finals

Solihull v Notts Co (Wed 25 May)
Grimsby v Chesterfield (Thu 26 May)

Semi-Finals

Wrexham v Solihull or Notts Co (Sat 28 May)
Halifax v Grimsby or Chesterfield (Sun 29 May)

Quoted from BraStrap

Might have to beat Notts County, Chesterfield and Stockport all away from BP

I get the same as you. Town 6th.