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6Notts County14121
7Accrington Stanley14120

9Crawley Town14-120
19Cambridge Utd14-516
20Leyton Orient14-215

24Newport County13-88

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Beaten Again!
Beaten Again!

Beat the Bookies: Week 38

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 01/05/2009

LAST week's matches both ended up with defeats, but Beat the Bookies is still guaranteed to make a profit for the fourth year running as the current kitty is enough to cover this week's two bets.

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 38

It's the last week of the season when there are always a few odd results. Youth players start in games and one or two may even bet on themselves to lose, so don't put a lot of money on and don't back favourites!

Grimsby v Macclesfield. How often do you see a side reach safety and then slump in form? Macclesfield are not in great form but they won last week and at 3/1 are probably better value than Town who are odds on to win. Selection: Macclesfield

Bury v Accrington Stanley. This was the fixture over which betting allegations still remain from last season, and ironically once again it is the last game. Bury must win to stand a chance of automatic promotion. Stanley have been safe for ages. Although the home side are clear favourites 8/1 with Paddy Power seems a crazy price for any team in this division and may be caused in large part by the betting allegations. Whatever the cause it seems an overreaction. Selection: Accrington

Wycombe v Notts Co. This is a similar situation to the previous game, where Wycombe need to win to ensure promotion. Notts Co have probably been unfairly written off at 7/1. Selection: Notts Co

Morecambe v Bournemouth The season is over for both these clubs but it is Bournemouth who have more to celebrate and will be on a high. At 11/5 the away side are the better value. Selection: Bournemouth

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Macclesfield to beat Grimsby . (3/1, Bet365)
  • 2. Accrington Stanley to beat Bury. (8/1, Paddy Power)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • Wycombe v Notts County, buy Notts County mini performance (13,

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 14/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

23/04Grimsby to beat Bournemouth3/1-£10.00
23/04Luton to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/04Darlington to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
16/04Accrington to beat Brentford8/1-£5.00
16/04Accrington (+1) to beat Brentford2.05-£5.00
09/04Darlington to beat Chesterfield7/2-£10.00
09/04Luton to beat Lincoln9/4-£10.00
03/04Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
03/04Bournemouth to beat Rochdale13/8+£16.25
31/03Bradford to beat Chester11/10-£10.00
31/03Bournemouth to beat Bury16/5-£10.00
20/03Chester to beat Bury13/2-£10.00
20/03Luton to beat Macclesfield16/5+£8.00
12/03Rotherham to beat Rochdale16/5+£32.00
12/03Luton to beat Aldershot2/1-£10.00
05/03Morecambe to beat Dagenham13/5+£26.00
05/03Barnet to beat Chester4/5+£8.00
26/02Bournemouth to beat Gillingham9/2-£10.00
26/02Barnet to beat Chesterfield4/1-£10.00
20/02Barnet to beat Bradford5/2+£25.00
20/02Morecambe to beat Aldershot11/4+£27.50
13/02Barnet to beat Notts County7/2-£10.00
13/02Exeter to beat Aldershot10/11+£9.09
05/02Dagenham to beat Bury11/4-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to beat Bradford4/1-£10.00
30/01Macclesfield to beat Rotherham7/2-£10.00
21/01Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0)4/5£0.00
21/01Tottenham to beat Man Utd8/1-£10.00
15/01Lincoln to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
15/01Luton to beat Darlington7/2-£10.00
06/01Exeter to beat Notts County6/4-£10.00
31/12Accrington to beat Rochdale5/1-£10.00
31/12Bournemouth to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
23/12Luton to beat Chesterfield14/5-£10.00
23/12Port Vale to beat Rotherham4/1-£10.00
23/12Bournemouth to beat Brentford9/2-£10.00
23/12Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale9/4-£10.00
16/12Grimsby to beat Aldershot9/2-£10.00
16/12Lincoln to beat Notts County7/4+£17.50
11/12Port Vale to beat Bury10/3-£10.00
11/12Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield10/3+£33.33
11/12Bournemouth to beat Rochdale4/1-£10.00
04/12Bournemouth to beat ChesterEvens+£10.00
04/12Bradford to beat Dagenham10/11-£10.00
28/11Aldershot beat Millwall13/2-£10.00
28/11Alferton beat Scunthorpe17/2-£10.00
19/11Notts Co to beat Dagenham12/5-£10.00
19/11Gillingham to beat Bury19/10-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dagenham3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dagenham to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dagenham21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£21.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

09/04Rochdale v Port Vale: Sell Rochdale Mini Performance34S35-£1.00
03/04Exeter v Dagenham: Sell Dagenham Mini Performance2010S+£10.00
31/03Rochdale v Exeter - sell Rochdale Mini Performance3030S+£0.00
20/03Shrewsbury v Morecambe - sell Shrewsbury Mini Performance3110S+£21.00
26/02Rochdale v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance160S-£16.00
13/02Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance2745B+£18.00
30/01Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance3245S-£13.00
21/01Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance2155S+£34.00
15/01Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance1435S+£21.00
04/12Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance2110B-£6.00
04/12Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance2155S-£34.00
19/11Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance2545S+£20.00
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total +£18.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

23/04Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
16/04Grimsby to win 3-112/1-£10.00
09/04Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
03/04Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
31/03Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
20/03Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
12/03Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/03Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
26/02Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
20/02Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
13/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
05/02Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
30/01Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
21/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
15/01Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
31/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
23/12Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/12Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
11/12Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/12Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/11Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£380.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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