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Seconds Out: Round 33
Seconds Out: Round 33

Beat the Bookies: Week 33

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 21/03/2013

ALL five tips lost last week. Never mind, it happens, and we'd still make a profit this season if that happens every week in the few weeks left of the season - which it hopefully won't.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 33

Grimsby take on Wrexham this weekend with Town's results having nosedived. You could look on that in two ways - a chance to bet on Wrexham as Grimsby or out of form, or the odds on Town might be better value because they haven't got the points their performances have deserved over the last few games. Personally I'm inclined to bet on a Wrexham win by more than 1 goal, which is available at 5.5 from Bet 365.

League One

  • Swindon v Notts County - away win (6.25, Bet Victor). This is a great value bet. County have only lost three away games all season, and on recent form there is little to choose between the two sides.

  • Brentford v Preston - away win (4.33, Ladbrokes). Looking at the recent form and ignoring the league table there is not much to choose between these two teams. PNE have had good results in their last four games with Notts County, Stevenage, MK Dons and Swindon, so Brentford shouldn't pose a problem.

    League Two

  • Gillingham v Accrington Stanley - away win (7.00, Sky Bet). Accrington have pulled themselves out of the bottom two with two great wins over their relegation rivals in the last two games. But they need a lot more points yet to be sure of escape! Gillingham could be another source of points, as the Gills have had just one in six and are starting to slip down the table.

  • Fleetwood Town v Dag & Red - away win (4.01, Pinnacle). Fleetwood have been terrible in the last two games (both defeats) and their manager has heavily criticised his own side and players. Dagenham could be their next victims. They are showing some form as they have not lost for four games.

  • Port Vale v Aldershot - away win (5.50, Sporting Bet). This is another topsy turvy game in League Two with an out of form side at the top playing an in form side at the bottom. Vale have just one win in six, Aldershot like most of the teams at the bottom have not been losing many recently. Hopefully the drubbing by Accrington in their last game was a one-off!

  • Bradford v Bristol Rovers - away win (4.00, Sky Bet). Bristol Rovers have picked up four wins and the last six and with 51 points are close to being able to relax. Bradford are going through the motions for the rest of the season, they managed a win against another mid-table side (Wycombe) in midweek but before that failed to beat three teams at the bottom - Exeter, Plymouth and Aldershot.

    FA Trophy

  • Grimsby v Wrexham - Wrexham to win by 2 or more goals (5.5, Bet 365). Grimsby have lost their last four, a combination of injuries, too many games and too many changes to the team. There's bound to be a lot more changes for the Wembley game. Wrexham didn't play in midweek so have had an extra few days rest, a key factor at this stage of the season. Grimsby have not scored in the last three games, so a big Wrexham win is not inconceivable.

    Scottish Division One

  • Dunfermline v Dumbarton- away win (4.5, Sky Bet). Dumbarton's away form is excellent and one of the best in the division. They have won five times on the road already this season, by far the best return of the teams in the bottom half of the table. Neither side are playing well, but at least Dumbarton have managed a win in their last six games, Dunfermline haven't even managed that!

    bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
    14/03Accrington Stanley v Barnet - away win3.05£-10.00
    14/03Brentford v Preston - away win4.33£-10.00
    14/03Doncaster v Portsmouth - away win7.00£-10.00
    14/03Sheff Wed v Cardiff - home win3.20£-10.00
    14/03Woking v AFC Telford - away win5.00£-10.00
    07/03Reading v Aston Villa - away win3.16£21.60
    07/03Leicester v Sheff Wed - away win6.00£50.00
    07/03Bournemouth v Doncaster - away win4.50£35.00
    07/03Swindon v Walsall - away win5.77£-10.00
    07/03Fleetwood Town v Exeter - away win3.27£-10.00
    07/03Rochdale v Wycombe - away win3.23£-10.00
    01/03Swansea v Newcastle - away win3.88£-10.00
    01/03Blackpool v Bristol City - away win5.75£-10.00
    01/03Brighton v Huddersfield - away win6.00£-10.00
    01/03Doncaster v Hartlepool - away win5.00£-10.00
    01/03Cheltenham v AFC Wimbledon - away win5.00£-10.00
    01/03Gateshead v Braintree Town - Away Win3.40£24.00
    01/03Macclesfield v Grimsby - Draw3.40£0.00
    21/02West Brom v Sunderland - away win4.65£-10.00
    21/02Brentford v Walsall - away win4.89£-10.00
    21/02Bournemouth v Sheffield Utd - away win3.60£26.00
    21/02Dag & Red v AFC Wimbledon - away win4.26£32.60
    21/02Grimsby v Dartford - Over 4.5 goals4.65£-10.00
    14/02Cardiff v Bristol City - away win7.50£-10.00
    14/02Tranmere v Shrewsbury - away win4.60£36.00
    14/02Bury v Coventry - away win2.40£14.00
    14/02Grimsby v Dartford - away win6.20£-10.00
    14/02Arsenal v Blackburn - away win12.50£115.00
    14/02York v Barnet - away win4.20£32.00
    07/02Chesterfield v AFC Wimbledon - away win5.00£-10.00
    07/02Stoke v Reading - away win4.60£-10.00
    07/02Notts County v Crewe - away win3.75£-10.00
    07/02Newport County v Tamworth - away win5.20£-10.00
    01/02Reading v Sunderland - away win31.00£-10.00
    01/02Blackpool v Barnsley - away win5.25£42.50
    01/02Watford v Bolton - away win3.60£-10.00
    01/02Blackburn v Bristol City - away win5.54£-10.00
    01/02Rotherham v Northampton - away win4.00£-10.00
    01/02Forest Green v Wrexham - away win3.00£-10.00
    24/01Bradford v Wycombe - away win5.12£0.00
    24/01Bournemouth v Crewe - away win5.58£-10.00
    24/013.44.35£-10.00
    24/01QPR v MK Dons - away win6.00£50.00
    24/01Reading v Sheffield United - away win6.00£-10.00
    18/01Liverpool v Norwich - away win11.00£-10.00
    18/01West Brom v Aston Villa5.50£-10.00
    18/01Wigan v Sunderland - away win3.88£28.80
    11/01Norwich v Newcastle - away win3.50£-10.00
    11/01Hull v Sheff Wed - away win6.03£50.30
    11/01Stevenage v Doncaster - away win2.75£17.50
    11/01Rotherham v Barnet - away win7.50£65.00
    11/01Bradford v Oxford Utd - away win4.06£30.60
    11/01Gateshead v Barrow - away win5.50£0.00
    11/01Sutton v Wrexham - home win6.20£-10.00
    11/01Dartford v Bromley - away win6.00£-10.00
    03/01Hull City v Leyton Orient - away win9.00£-10.00
    03/01Southampton v Chelsea - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01West Ham United v Manchester United - home win5.50£-10.00
    03/01Gateshead v Nuneaton - away win4.90£-10.00
    03/01Kidderminster v Barrow - away win7.00£-10.00
    27/12Stoke v Southampton - away win5.20£-10.00
    27/12Arsenal v Newcastle - away win9.00£-10.00
    27/12Fulham v Swansea - away win3.65£26.50
    27/12MK Dons v Coventry - away win4.41£34.10
    27/12Exeter v Barnet - away win4.80£-10.00
    27/12Rotherham v Accrington Stanley - away win6.60£-10.00
    27/12Dartford v Cambridge Utd - away win3.20£-10.00
    27/12Southport v Hyde - away win3.15£21.50
    20/12Bury v Shrewsbury - away win3.21£-10.00
    14/12Liverpool v Aston Villa - away win10.19£91.90
    14/12Doncaster v Coventry - away win3.25£22.50
    14/12Accrington Stanley v Wycombe - away win3.10£21.00
    14/12Woking -1.5 v Welling United - home win (AH)3.70£-10.00
    14/12Dartford v Tonbridge - away win6.00£-10.00
    14/12Hayes & Yeading v Dover - away win2.00£10.00
    07/12Fulham v Newcastle - away win4.75£-10.00
    07/12Leicester v Derby - away win5.91£-10.00
    07/12Swindon v Doncaster - away win4.26£-10.00
    07/12Forest Green v Macclesfield - away win4.33£-10.00
    07/12Grimsby v Tamworth - draw4.31£-10.00
    07/12Luton v Alfreton Town - away win6.50£-10.00
    07/12Woking v Stockport - over 4.5 goals4.75£-10.00
    30/11Crawley v Chelmsford - away win8.50£-10.00
    30/11Oldham v Doncaster - away win5.50£-10.00
    30/11Liverpool v Southampton - away win9.00£-10.00
    30/11West Ham v Chelsea - home win4.30£33.00
    23/11Tottenham v West Ham - away win6.28£-10.00
    23/11Barnsley v Cardiff - away win2.24£12.40
    23/11Walsall v Hartlepool - away win4.70£-10.00
    23/11Cheltenham v Barnet - away win5.50£-10.00
    23/11Woking v Farnborough - away win5.15£-10.00
    23/11Stafford v Southport - home win3.75£-10.00
    16/11Norwich v Man Utd - home win8.00£70.00
    16/11Man City v Aston Villa - away win (DNB)13.00£-10.00
    16/11Gillingham v Morecambe - away win6.00£-10.00
    16/11Rotherham v Cheltenham - away win4.20£-10.00
    08/11Tamworth v AFC Telford - away win3.25£-10.00
    08/11Forest Green v Stockport - away win5.09£-10.00
    08/11Cheltenham v Burton Albion - away win4.75£-10.00
    08/11Reading v Norwich - away win3.40£-10.00
    08/11Everton v Sunderland - away win8.60£-10.00
    01/11Liverpool v Newcastle - away win6.90£-10.00
    01/11Sheff Wed v Peterborough - away win4.60£-10.00
    01/11Aldershot v Hendon - away win10.00£-10.00
    01/11Swindon v Macclesfield - away win11.00£100.00
    01/11Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win11.00£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    Premier Total £53.70
    Champ Total £208.30
    L1 Total £145.20
    L2 Total £150.73
    BSP Total £-89.40
    BSS Total £-15.00
    Cups Total £157.00
    Grand Total £610.53

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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